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TheNewTeddy

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  1. You can manually multiquote. Here. I've written this in the quick reply box. Now I'm highlighting it all and copy-pasting it. (cutting) I've hit quote to get your quote. I put a few spaces above so I could paste that line above. Now I'm going to do the same for the post above yours. Highlight all the text in the box, and cut it. hit quote, add spaces, paste it in.
  2. A little history of elections in Japan. 1993 Just like here, and in a places like Italy, the elections in and around 1993 saw the party system radically change. 243 - Opposition (8 party coalition) 223 - LDP 15 - Communist 30 - Independent 1996 During the previous term, the Socialists split in half, and half switched sides and allied with the LDP A few of the opposition parties allied in the NFP. 239 - LDP 156 - NFP 105 - Others 2000 The DPJ as we know it came to be with a merger with the NFP. 233 - LDP 127 - DPJ 120 - Others 2003 The DPJ won the largest share by a single united opposition party since the 50s. 237 - LDP 177 - DPJ 66 - Others 2005 Snap election called over the issue of private post. The government won. 296 - LDP 113 - DPJ 71 - Others 2009 First loss by the LDP to a unified opposition party since the war. 308 - DPJ 119 - LDP 53 - Others What may be important to know is what happened prior to the big 1993 mess. 1990 The last in the line of similar elections. The Japan Socialist Party continued it's seeminly never-ending stint in the opposition. 275 - LDP 136 - JSP 101 - Others 1986 A strong challenge by the centre-left (86 seats) 300 - LDP 85 - JSP 127 - Others 1983 A slightly less strong challenge by the centre-left (107 seats) 250 - LDP 112 - JSP 149 - Others 1980 Caused by a rebels wthin the government. Government increased it's majority. Centre-left took 80 seats. 284 - LDP 107 - JSP 120 - Others 1979 LDP fails to capture a majority. Centre-left took 98 seats. 248 - LDP 107 - JSP 156 - Others 1976 LDP hit by scandal. It was during this parliament various centre-left forces became a bit more popular, but the fact the centre-left vote was split among many different parties did not help whatsoever. 260 - LDP 124 - JSP 127 - Others 1972 The last "good" election by the Communists (40 seats) 284 - LDP 118 - JSP 89 - Others 1969 The old Komeito party did well (47 seats) 300 - LDP 90 - JSP 96 - Others 1967 Good ole two-party election. 280 - LDP 141 - JSP 75 - Others 1963 Only 4 parties won seats, the main 2, the Communists, and the centre-left DSP. 294 - LDP 144 - JSP 29 - Others 1960 Birth of the DSP, centrist rebels from the JSP. The DSP would go on to form the core of the DPJ many decades later. 300 - LDP 144 - JSP 23 - Others 1958 Ah, simpler times. 298 - Liberal-Democrats 167 - Socialists 1 - Communist 1 - Independent 1955 Things were a bit complicated back then. 185 - Democrats 114 - Liberals (guess what happened with these two parties) 89 - Left-wing Socialists 67 - Right-wing Socialists 2 - Communists 10 - Others And it goes on from there.
  3. Which is the only reason I bother to follow it really. Current counts have the Parliamentary election tied 86-86 with 2 Others. In Romania (the maps should have auto-updated) House 266 - Socialists 23 - Conservatives 14 - Hungarians 4 - Populists 8 - Undeclared Senate 118 - Socialists 7 - Hungarians 6 - Conservatives 0 - Populists 6 - Undeclared (Note that these numbers come from simply counting the non-red areas on the map and subtracting the total number of seats.) Japan: It should be noted that each of the major parties has "Factions". These as, in short, as follows: LDP Decades of unbroken governance allowed for strong inner-party factions to grow. LIBERAL - This faction has split in two recently over Keynesian policies. It is more moderate. It ruled from the 60's to the 90's. DEMOCRATIC - This faction currently holds power, and is the more Conservative and conservative of the two. DPJ Merger after Merger after Merger to create this party left inner-party cleaves. SOCIALIST - These are those who left the old Socialist Party of Japan LIBERAL - Think of our Liberals. MODERATES - Centrists and the such. EX LDP - This group is a right-wing (within the party anyway) CONSERVATIVE - The current Prime Minister leads this faction. What is important to know is that just about every DPJ member in a "safe seat" this election is either EX LDP or CONSERVATIVE With the rise of the conservatives in the LDP, the new Reform-like JRP, and a right-wing rump expected to be left of the DPJ, the end result of this election is known. A huge victory for conservative forces.
  4. Mahama appears to have won slightly over 50% of the votes in a come-from-behind-during-counting victory. Mahama's Socialist party is also leading in the counting of Parliamentary seats. 84 - NDC - Socialist 79 - NPP - Conservative 2 - Others 110 - Undeclared Romania maps. House: Senate: Red is the governing coalition, Green is the Hungarian party, and Blue is the Conservatives while Purple are the Populists. If current trends continue the end result should be: 270 - Government 25 - Conservatives 15 - Hungarians 5 - Populists With a similar share of seats in the Senate. Note that the government itself is a coalition of 3 parties. The Social Democrats, the Progressives, and the Conservatives. The latter are socially conservative; it's economic policies are more in line with the left. No change in South Korea. In Japan the polls continue the trends as they already exist. Projection adjusted to as follows: 260 - LDP - Conservative 80 - DPJ - Liberal 77 - JRP - Reform 63 - Others: 25 - FJP - Moderate and Progressive 16 - NKP - Religious (Buddhist) 12 - YP - Populist...ish 7 - JCP - Communists 3 - SDP - Social Democrats
  5. The Incumbent in Ghana has increased his lead slightly as votes continue to be counted. Additional polls from South Korea show the Conservative candidate for President has retained her lead. Japan's LDP seems to be gaining support due to their new found conservative policies. They want to turn Japan's military into a real military, stop allowing China and Korea a veto over history textbooks, and to take back an apology the country made in 1993 under it's first non-LDP government over the use of "comfort women" (I guess they are not sorry??) edit And no, you wont find any of that on wikipedia. I also follow media reports.
  6. oops accidentally blanked.
  7. Map of India's last election Current polling based projections for other countries: Germany 257 - Conservatives 192 - Socialists 100 - Greens 49 - Ex Communists 0 - Liberals 0 - Pirates Traditional Socialist-Green coalition would not have enough seats for a majority. United Kingdom 354 - Labour 254 - Conservative 42 - All Others: 12 - SNP (Scottish Separatist) 10 - DUP (Northern Ireland / NI Unionist) 6 - Sinn Fien (NI Separatist) 6 - Liberal Democrat 3 - Plaid Cymru (Welsh Separatist) 2 - SDLP (NI Labour) 1 - RESPECT (Socialist) 1 - Green 1 - Speaker 0 - UKIP This is an off hand projection I've made based on projections from others.
  8. You could easily put all your quotes into a single post manually. You could also PM the moderators rather than posting self-tagged spam on the forum like this.
  9. More news from Japan since my last post only a few minutes ago. An earthquake - weaker than, but in the same spot as the Fukishima quake. On a day when the official Nuclear agency says it wants to restart the plants. Bad timing for pro-nuclear forces. I've also modified my projection to better match the media average projection. LDP - 260 DPJ - 87 JRP - 70 FJP - 25 NKP - 16 YP - 12 JCP - 7 SDP - 3 A bit more on the parties DPJ Democratic Party of Japan Colours: Orange, Red Position: Centre-Left Leader: Noda (Current PM) Canadian: Liberals (party analogy in Canada) Nuke? Anti GST? 10% (sales-taxes are a big issue this election) TPP? Pro (Free-trade thingy in the pacific) Main platform points: Social Security, Economy, Energy, Foreign Relations, National Security, and Political Reform (All mushy issues) LDP Liberal Democratic Party Colours: Green, Blue Position: Centre-right Leader: Abe (Former PM) Canadian: Conservatives / old PC Nuke? mum GST? 5% (current levels) TPP? Anti Main platform points: Foreign affairs (And other issues that attract less attention) JFP Japan Future Party Colours: Green Position: Centrist to Moderate Left, pro-Green Leader: Kada (She is a current Governor, not running for a federal seat) Canadian: Green Party of Canada (Harris-May era) Nuke? Anti GST? 5% TPP? Anti Main platform points: Not being either of the big 2 parties. JRP Japan Restoration Party Colours: Green Position: Right-wing Leader: Ishihara (Former Gov) Canadian: Reform Party Nuke? Pro GST? 11% TPP? Conditionally Main platform points: Nationalism and Populism YP Your Party Colours: Red, Blue Position: Centre-Right Leader: Watanabe Canadian: Uh... Not really close to anything we have. Nuke? Anti GST? 5% TPP? Pro Main platform points: Populist Reforms. NKP New Kōmeitō Party Colours: Red Position: Socially Conservative Leader: Canadian: CHP Nuke? Anti GST? TPP? Main platform points: Social Order, Economic Growth
  10. Media projections from within Japan have come out since I made this post. They project the same numbers I do. (DPJ between 90-60, LDP around 230, majority with NKP)
  11. SK also has PR that was not mapped. And all maps have this problem.
  12. Has it expired?
  13. Does this apply to points given prior to the forum upgrade?
  14. Correction: the LDP had only one long-term leader in their term out of office, but switched back to Abe (a former MP) [pronounced AB-ay] in September of this year. Also, more on South Korea. Parliamentary elections were held in the spring. Results were as follows: Red and Blue are the Conservative parties, while Yellow is the Liberal party. Purple is the Progressives. The Conservatives won 157 seats in this election, to the Liberals 127, Progressives 13, and Independents 3. South Korea also rotates though Prime Ministers faster than Japan. From 2008 to the present, the Conservatives have been in power, and 4 PMs have served. Between 1998 and 2008, the Liberals were in power, and 18 PMs served. From 1988 to 1998, with the Conservatives in power, 16 Prime Ministers served. 1988 marks the founding of the Sixth Republic 12 Conservative PMs served between 1982 and 1988 1982 marks the founding of the Fifth Republic From 1980 to 1982, 2 Conservative PMs served. From late 1979 to early 1980, South Korea was a Military Dictatorship due to a Coup D'Etat. Prior to this the Military played roles in picking the leader(s) of the country, and there were other times where democracy was not so democratic. The last PM to serve more than 3 years was the one overthrown. The longest serving PM was in office from May 10th 1964 to December 20th 1970, 6 and a half years. I'm also updating my Japan predictions to better match the level of media coverage given to each party and it's positive or negative tone. LDP - 245 DPJ - 88 JRP - 80 JFP - 32 NKP - 16 YP - 12 JCP - 7 SDP - 0 LDP and NKP would have a majority and would indeed govern together as they have done in the past. In Romania, the government (if the polls are right) should win about 200 of the 315 seats, or many more (up to 300) - I really don't fully understand the electoral system there. They are at 60%-65% in the polls though, and thus, will sweep.
  15. The LDP continued to rotate though leaders during their time out of office, they are now lead by one of their various former PMs.
  16. Japan Poll Averaging: LDP - 38.15% DPJ - 21.75% JRP - 19.14% NKP - 6.85% YP - 4.48% JFP - 4.17% JCP - 3.69% SDP - 1.77% I expect some movement between now and election day. PR results on these numbers: (unadjusted for movement) LDP - 69 DPJ - 39 JRP - 34 NKP - 12 YP - 8 JFP - 8 JCP - 7 SDP - 3 I also have a math formula for projecting FPTP results. Though I caution that this formula is not very accurate - though it is the best one out there - and Japan uses a system far more complicated than FPTP. Pure math at current poll numbers gives the following: LDP - 182 DPJ - 59 JRP - 46 NKP - 6 YP - 3 JFP - 2 JCP - 2 SDP - 0 The totals are thus LDP - 251 DPJ - 98 JRP - 80 NKP - 18 YP - 11 JFP - 10 JCP - 9 SDP - 3 I expect that the JRP and JFP have momentum, and that the DPJ and LDP will lose out. Thus my projection at the time is as follows: LDP - 235 JRP - 100 DPJ - 88 JFP - 19 NKP - 16 YP - 12 JCP - 7 SDP - 3 Leaving the LDP a few seats short of a majority.
  17. That is true, but this definition has limits.If one is told by many others, many times, to stop doing a specific thing, because said specific thing is trolling - then that one decides to continue doing it - that is trolling by all definitions.
  18. Elections were held in Kuwait. Turnout was the lowest the kingdom had ever seen. Both Liberals and Conservatives boycotted the election, and will thus have no representation in the new parliament. Burkina Faso held elections on the 2nd. That's all that is known at this time, and not to be rude, but all that matters. In Slovenia, the Social Democrat, Pahor, won election, beating the incumbent in the second round by a margin greater than one third. Upcoming 7th - http://en.wikipedia...._election,_2012 Ghana 9th - http://en.wikipedia...._election,_2012 Romania 15th - http://en.wikipedia....eferendum,_2012 Egypt 16th - http://en.wikipedia....elections,_2012 Venezula 17th - http://en.wikipedia...._election,_2012 Bermuda 19th - http://en.wikipedia...._election,_2012 South Korea 28th - http://en.wikipedia...._election,_2012 Ghana In South Korea, the election is between Moon and Park. Park is leading her Conservatives in their attempt to hold on to the office, the incumbent is term limited. Moon is running for the Liberals. Park has been leading in the polls, but the recent departure of Ahn from the race, and his endorsement of Moon, is expected to shake up the polls. The most recent poll has both candidates within the margin of error, but Park still narrowly ahead. http://en.wikipedia...._election,_2012 Japan's election takes place on the 16th. Japan uses a unique Proportional Representation system that is both more rare and more simple than other PR systems. It is a Parallel system. There are 480 seats in the lower house of Parliament. 300 of these members are elected in the constituencies. The remaining 180 are elected based on PR, but, under a parallel system, the PR votes apply only to those 180. Thus if a party wins 50% of the vote, they win 90 of these PR seats, and win those 90 regardless of whether they've taken 1 or 299 of the remaining 300. Japan has many parties. The Democratic Liberals and Liberal Democrats are the two biggest, though, the former has dropped Liberal from it's name. The DPJ is the current government and is seen as a moderate left party. The LDP is a conservative party, and save for a short period in 1993, has been the majority part of governments in the country since the end of the second world war. The voting public still holds the same anger at the LDP that caused that party to lose government in 2009, but also now holds anger towards the current DPJ government. This means smaller parties may make gains. There are many smaller parties not expected to take more than 5% of the vote. These include the Social Democrats, the Communists, and the "Your Party". The Japan Future Party was formed last week, built on another smaller party that had been riding at the same level as these other parties. It remains to be seen if it will break free of this or not. The New Komeito Party is difficult to classify. It is seen as an LDP ally, and is expected to take between 4% and 6% of the vote. The DPJ has been as low as 20% in the polls, and is not expected to finish first. They could, however, still "win" if they manage to win a higher than expected share of the non-PR seats, and/or find allies to sit in coalition. The LDP is expected to "win" but has been unable to break much beyond 35% in the polls. They will thus likely need coalition partners unless they manage to take a large number of the non-PR seats. Most interesting is the new Japan Restoration Party. Founded only in September, the party has been at or over 25% in various polls. The party is lead by the governor of Tokyo from 1999 straight through to the end of this October. He is very popular in the area and is seen as successful. The party is considered to be a "far-right" party, but my research puts them closer to our Reform Party, in both policy and intent. The Party also uses Green as it's colour, but then again, so does the LDP.
  19. Taking over the chat room is not what the chat room is there fore. Controlling the conversation at will is also not what it is there for either.
  20. I support this. People were in chat the other day claiming insanity (That parties that they disagree with have 0 good policies. Every party - from Communist to Nazi to Libertarian to Anarchist - registered or otherwise has at least 1 good idea, even if only at it's core) and I'd like to have the ability to ignore them as well. edit Examples: Britain's nazi-like BNP wants to help war Vets. Russia's Communist Party wants anti-corruption laws. US Libertarians want a legal system that is easier to understand. Most Anarchists, worldwide, oppose assault, and support security to stop it. Unless you are Anti-Vet, Pro-Corruption, support writing laws people can't understand, and do not care about assault - then you accept - whether you know it or not - that all parties have at least 1 good idea.
  21. It will probably remain my sig for a long, long time; and in fact, may even become my sig at other forums. I find it that amazing of a quote.
  22. Yes. This is the best quote to ever come out of this place
  23. Are the mods saying they'd rather a thread go off topic? I frequently start posts with quotes and links to other topics. Do they wish me to stop?
  24. Your fears are not realistic.
  25. Frankly, Cities should be given a portion of income taxes. If you work here, you should pay taxes here.
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