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Everything posted by SpankyMcFarland
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Britain Sets Date for EU Referendum -- Brexit
SpankyMcFarland replied to scribblet's topic in The Rest of the World
It's from the Financial Times. Here is a taste: If Britain holds all the good cards in this game, as you say, they should just dictate terms and exit immediately. Will this happen? Imagine a 'spontaneous uprising' of ethnic Russians in the Baltic States a la Ukraine. Do you really think Moscow will get nuked over that? Did you see Farage in the European Parliament this week? Doesn't go down well when a deal has to be made afterwards. -
Britain Sets Date for EU Referendum -- Brexit
SpankyMcFarland replied to scribblet's topic in The Rest of the World
Both stand to lose a lot. Britain's banks need access to the EU: http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/a3a92744-3a52-11e6-9a05-82a9b15a8ee7.html#axzz4DBZ7yfcE Germany may prefer a cosy deal but many countries in Eastern Europe do not want to see the EU break up, given the recent pronouncements of Trump on NATO and behaviour of Putin to his neighbours. The desire for a tough line to be taken will not come from France alone. Farage better tone down his antics and Britain should hope for fewer 'Polish vermin' signs sprouting up. The Brexiteers seem keen to delay things now into an indefinite Brelimbo but many on the other side want a faster break. -
What about Britain's trade deficit? Doesn't that point to an already overvalued currency? I have made a small amount of money from some rapidly declining stocks, e.g. Nortel, Irish banks, by pure luck (a similar strategy came a cropper with Air Canada). In neither case was I aware of the scale of 'creative accounting' going on. My big fear with Brexit is contagion. If the EU begins to break up, we would be in the locale formerly known as Queer Street.
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It's dying in the West as well, sliding towards oligarchy and mass surveillance. People have a lot less hope for real change through politics any more.
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Britain Sets Date for EU Referendum -- Brexit
SpankyMcFarland replied to scribblet's topic in The Rest of the World
These are worrying times for London. A lot of banking jobs depend on access to the EU market. Farage and his ilk do not make a sensible compromise easy. You can see how the UK has changed by the way people comment about Scotland or NI. This is not a united country. -
Britain Sets Date for EU Referendum -- Brexit
SpankyMcFarland replied to scribblet's topic in The Rest of the World
Who cares who controls the size of kettles? Somebody will be making such regulations. The control of the 'superstate' has been exaggerated. http://takimag.com/article/a_vote_to_remain_allan_massie/print#axzz4CvXAjfoD I think the main point I get from the article is that, like the US, post-industrial Britain has left a lot of people behind. -
Britain Sets Date for EU Referendum -- Brexit
SpankyMcFarland replied to scribblet's topic in The Rest of the World
It would also be the right thing to do if the Scots wanted to remain in the EU. England outside London, and Wales, have a very different take on this matter from Scotland and NI. There is a widening chasm in the UK. Two things stand in the way - money and Spain. Scotland is in bad shape right now with the oil collapse, and Spain wants to force Catalonia to stay. -
Britain Sets Date for EU Referendum -- Brexit
SpankyMcFarland replied to scribblet's topic in The Rest of the World
Interesting piece from the Guardian which would have been a solidly pro-Remain paper: https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/jun/27/liverpool-london-brexit-leave-eu-referendum -
Britain Sets Date for EU Referendum -- Brexit
SpankyMcFarland replied to scribblet's topic in The Rest of the World
The larger forces at work will continue to operate within or without the EU. The great factories are not coming back. And the NHS will continue to need workers at 3 am to clean hospitals for very modest sums. A lot of these people are not British and will not be British. Something needed to done for what ails Britain but Brexit was the wrong treatment. -
Britain Sets Date for EU Referendum -- Brexit
SpankyMcFarland replied to scribblet's topic in The Rest of the World
Germany looks to Asia, esp. China, more than to places like Britain to sell its goods in the future. Britain will have to pay a price for the disruption it has caused the EU. That may affect German and other exporters to some extent but it probably will be demanded by the politicians to discourage others from similar ideas. The Brits have caused everybody considerable grief. It won't be consequence free. -
Britain Sets Date for EU Referendum -- Brexit
SpankyMcFarland replied to scribblet's topic in The Rest of the World
I really don't know enough about currency valuations to have an opinion but...my ill-informed guess is that, over the long term, they are reflection of economic reality more than anything else. The pound has probably been overvalued as evidenced by the massive trade deficit there. A lower pound will tend to reduce imports and make the UK more competitive. People will be poorer but there will be more jobs. It will certainly tend to reduce Irish imports to Britain. It was interesting that Northen Irish voters ignored the strange Leave message of the largest Unionist party. They could see the danger of a bigger border in Ireland on multiple fronts, not least for peace. -
Britain Sets Date for EU Referendum -- Brexit
SpankyMcFarland replied to scribblet's topic in The Rest of the World
I guess it depends on what price you put on running your own country. Freedom isn't free. The Scots should make up their minds as to whether they are ready to make the sacrifices necessary for independence. If not, they shouldn't complain about what the English decide for them. BTW the rest of the U.K., including England, increasingly depends on that Remain stronghold London to pay the bills. -
Britain Sets Date for EU Referendum -- Brexit
SpankyMcFarland replied to scribblet's topic in The Rest of the World
Britain may be in for a bit of social turbulence: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/06/26/spate-of-racist-attacks-blamed-on-brexit-vote/ -
Britain Sets Date for EU Referendum -- Brexit
SpankyMcFarland replied to scribblet's topic in The Rest of the World
Historically, you are correct. Ulster has been restive about its place in the British state for a hundred years, actually for more like eight hundred. It's just that NI and Ulster are not precisely synonymous any more. Ask anybody in Donegal. -
Britain Sets Date for EU Referendum -- Brexit
SpankyMcFarland replied to scribblet's topic in The Rest of the World
Given that the Conservative Party was continuously in power from 1951 until 1964, I think the blame can be shared. In fairness, the war really knocked the stuffing out of Britain and the country was still recovering in the Sixties. Many of the city centres still looked like the Germans had just paid a visit. It were grim lad. -
Britain Sets Date for EU Referendum -- Brexit
SpankyMcFarland replied to scribblet's topic in The Rest of the World
There is a lot to worry about as well for RoI. The U.K. is her biggest trading partner and this could be seriously affected by new tariffs and a devaluation of sterling. There is also the worry of renewed tensions on the border with NI, which makes the DUP campaign for Leave even more inexplicable. Regarding relocation, I'll believe it when I see it. If the EU forces banks out of London, a lot of the better paid jobs will go to Frankfurt etc. rather than Dublin. Fluent English is commonplace these days but banking expertise remains concentrated in a few cities. -
Britain Sets Date for EU Referendum -- Brexit
SpankyMcFarland replied to scribblet's topic in The Rest of the World
Ulster was divided in 1921. Three counties - Donegal (actually the northernmost county on the island), Cavan and Monaghan - were included in 'Southern Ireland' and Northern Ireland was created from the other six. So 'Northern Ireland' is the more correct term for the British part of Ireland, not Ulster. -
Britain Sets Date for EU Referendum -- Brexit
SpankyMcFarland replied to scribblet's topic in The Rest of the World
What Scotland does will be for Scotland to decide. Brexit changes the game. Like Alberta, it is in a tough spot right now with the collapse in oil prices and probably won't want another referendum immediately. The Scots have clearly voted in favour of Remain as did NI despite the largest party, the DUP, actively campaigning for Leave. London also clearly voted Remain. The UK is split down the middle on the vote and obviously there are all sorts of voters on either side. However, Leave voters do tend to be older, less well educated, poorer, Christian and more likely to be born in Britain. There's hyperbole on both sides as to what this means exactly. I'm sure many families are divided on their vote. -
Britain Sets Date for EU Referendum -- Brexit
SpankyMcFarland replied to scribblet's topic in The Rest of the World
You are forgetting a country doing rather well at Euro 2016. Great singers too: http://www.walesonline.co.uk/sport/football/football-news/stats-show-wales-been-one-11517412 Surprisingly, to me anyway, they voted for Leave. -
If only one reason could be given, I would say too much sugar. Excessive intake is apparently more important than output and sugar more significant than fat. I find I can no longer run my weight down, so what goes in has to be reduced. One other thing that helps me along these lines is intermittent fasting. Here are two examples from the UK: https://thefastdiet.co.uk http://www.thetwodaydiet.co.uk
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Name the next CPC and NDP leaders
SpankyMcFarland replied to hitops's topic in Federal Politics in Canada
No idea. I think Raitt would be a sound choice for the Conservatives because she has some centrist appeal. Clement is too nerdy (unfair, yes), Kenney too odd, Rempel too annoying, and I have never rated McKay. Didn't Ambrose promise she wouldn't run? Chong would be my favourite but I suspect he is too pure in spirit for such a dirty job. I really don't think Leitch belongs in politics at all. As to the NDP - less than no idea. Nathan Cullen, perhaps? Some of the other names being bruited about are fairly strange. Bear in mind I backed Garneau for the Liberal leadership. -
Still Going to Buy the F-35, Really?
SpankyMcFarland replied to Hoser360's topic in Federal Politics in Canada
Is 'every western country' going to buy F-35s? -
Still Going to Buy the F-35, Really?
SpankyMcFarland replied to Hoser360's topic in Federal Politics in Canada
You should pop over to CKA and put them right then. http://www.canadaka.net/forums/current-events-f59/canada-to-buy-f-18-super-hornets-as-interim-replacements-t116296.html?sid=e98a59a9d22278716fe47d74822a6e51
