Derek 2.0

Not at all, but being a member of the party, and privy to the 2015 roadmap, I have far more confidence in returning a majority Government this Fall, than obtaining a majority mandate, months prior, to the 2011 election..........~170-180 seat Tory Majority, you heard it here first

Sure, but then, what else would we talk about in a thread on polling, on a board, encompassing Canadian politics?

I clearly missed your point, but I also remember declarations of a PM Dion and Ignatieff in the media years ago........Myself and the Party are much more comfortable with a stable/stagnant trend 3 months prior to the election then peaks and valleys.........

That 3 months prior to the election, polls offer little clairvoyance as to the actual result......

Is it? I would have assumed the Leger site dating the poll the 17th would have missed the trackers results for the 16th.........

~3 months prior to the 2011 election, EKOS polled the Tories at ~32%, the Liberals at ~27% and the NDP at ~15%............The Tories won with over 39% 3 months later...3 months prior to the 2008 election, the Tories were polling in the very low 30s, yet won three month later with nearly ~38% of the vote.........~3 months prior to the 2006 election, the Tories were polling in the high 20s and low 30, then won with ~36-37% of the vote. Place your bets as you may........

Exactly, due to the fact that a decades old Reform party policy paper envisioned building three heavy icebreakers (nearly a billion a pop in early 90s dollars), building on the previous Mulroney Government's Polar 8 program to build a nuclear powered icebreaker, in addition to 6-8 nuclear attack subs......as the Reform/CA policy paper evolved, and the realization that we couldn't afford three super icebreakers, the plan was whittled down to a more obtainable large Coast Guard icebreaker and (then) 6-8 Arctic patrol vessels.......... Ironically, if the Government had of invested more money in the larger ice breakers, the MSM and Opposition would have bitched about that..........inversely, as they bitch about SAR capabilities, they fail to mention the boon to coastal SAR the Harry DeWolf class will be.....in effect greatly expanding our current rotary SAR fleet range and on-station time.

Exactly. To add, the meme of "slushbreaker" is exactly that.............The Harry DeWolf class will be given a Polar ice rating of 5, outside of the Russians (of which nobody know how many of their nuclear icebreakers are actually operational or safe), of the other three Arctic nations (Canada, United States and Denmark) there are currently only 9 icebreakers in Government service with a Polar rating 5 or better, five Canadian Coast Guard ice breakers, three American icebreakers and one Danish icebreaker..........though their intended role is not to provide ice-breaking services to other vessels, the Harry DeWolf class will be just as able to operate in the Arctic as most other icebreakers (outside a handful of heavy ice breakers and the eventual CCGS John G. Diefenbaker) from late Spring to early Fall.....

Sure. No, and I never suggested that, they cost more because they are being produced in Canada. Do you have any idea of the distances involved in our coastlines? And no, the LCS can't run rings around them, as first, the LCS has not the range, nor seakeeping ability to operate in the same environment as the Harry DeWolf class will, but lets say they did, they can't operate in river ice, let alone first year arctic ice......... There is a reason the USN will no longer produce the current LCS class, choosing instead to salvage the program by building larger versions that would survive in a North Atlantic/Pacific storm, and can actually deploy where needed, due in part to increased range and endurance........

I didn't even notice that, but did notice the NDP surge in the Liberal bastion of the Atlantic.........

Apples to Oranges..........first, the LCS has its development costs (from your cited figure) spread across dozens of vessels, well also not including the costs of each vessels's mission packages (the ships weapons, minus the 57mm gun, ASW, ASuW, MCM etc), packages that have yet to be fully developed and employed in the fleet........... Second, the mainly aluminum construction of the two LCS classes doesn't make the vessels more capable than the Harry DeWolf class, as such, said vessels would have zero ability to operate in even river ice, making the LCS less capable then not only the DeWolf class, but even our current Kingston class........ And finally, the LCS doesn't even have comparable range/endurance compared to the Kingston class, let alone the Harry DeWolf class, which would prove useless to the RCN in deployments in not only our Arctic, but even standard patrols along our West/East coasts.......... There is nothing wrong with the LCS, in their intended role, combat in the littorals of third world crap holes, but they would be wholly unsuitable in the role the Harry DeWolf class will fill..........

And I'm not, 3 months from the election, polls mean little, other than as a discussion point on a political web forum.........

Rick Perry was a pilot in the USAF through the early-mid 70s.....Lindsay Graham served in the USAF, ANG and remained (to present?) in the USAF Reserve, being called up several times during the recent GWOT/Iraq war, well still in the Senate, to contribute in the JAG Corps......other then that, I don't think any of the other Republican or Democrats served.

I didn't speak to the seat projection, but this passage: As to the July 16 seat projections, I could be wrong, but I would assume they don't include data released on July 17...........

Not the least bit surprised: As I said last year: Realistically, it is no big loss, as the CBC's cited expert says here: I agree, but this isn't due in part to the most recent engine (and structural) issues with the Athabaskan, but due to: The RCN should let Athabaskan join her retired sisters.... unless she can be bandaged for several more years with salvaged parts from her recently decommissioned sisters, with the expectation that the ship would no longer deploy overseas, instead, being kept (as I said above) as a place holder, no longer for the crews whose ships (the frigates) are currently undergoing refit, but to start placing the future crews of the Harry DeWolf class.......the ship, assuming she can be kept operational with her sisters recycled parts, could further reduce its operational budget by no longer putting to sea with a full complement of crew, by "mothballing" (most of) the ship's weapons, sonars and long range/fire control radar, in addition, due to the Cyclone now entering service, no longer putting to sea with a helidet.........in effect, making the destroyer a default training & (large) coastal patrol vessel for the next several years.........a much more viable approach to ease the transition to the AOPS then using the Kingstons (outside of their annual Arctic exercises), if anything, due in large part to the actual size of the vessel.

The most recent Leger poll has the NDP and Tories tied at 32%, as a result, CBC's Poll Tracker has the NDP leading the Tories by 3%, with the Tories having the greatest change among the parties with an increase of 0.6 points.

US Federal Government policy, namely the insistence that Federal Government facilities be designated "gun free zones", in this case, as noted on the front door of the recruiting office: Outside of combat zones, very few US military personal are armed on a daily basis..........presently, only military police, Marines and USAF security personal guarding nuclear weapons, and those (namely Marines) entrusted with protecting the National Command Authority (President) are armed......

Huh?

And in such a period, I'd assume, the NDP will be able to produce an add highlighting the Prime Minister's time in Quebec, having a campaign function at a club owned by a person with alleged ties to the Mafia and Quebec corruption, with donations offered in brown paper bags.........oh wait......

No, I've already provided both MSM reports and the minutes from the IBOE.........as said, if you want to find which NDP member broke which exact rule, as there are upwards of 30+ current and former NDP members with owed expenses, you can very well "go fetch".....I even provided the Federal law, By-laws and the listing of the various minutes of each meeting for the last several years (refuting your, and the NDP's, claim of secrecy)..... Already cited above.........furthermore, in pdf format, the Members allowance and service manual: As cited several times, Commons Administrators found numerous NDP MP were breaking the rules, in turn, the Board of Internal Economy ruled the NDP owed over $ 2.7 million for the misuse of Parliamentary funds, in addition to over $ 1 million owed to Canada Post for the misuse of free mailings........ The NDP owe Canadian taxpayers nearly $4 million dollars for their abuse of Government funds..........The entire Senate Scandal was a result of ~$ 1 million dollars in fraudulent claims by Tory and Liberal Senators, resulting in numerous investigations and legal action.......... The Federal NDP is nearly four times as bad as the Senate, the Senate that the NDP want to abolish as a result of its misuse of taxpayer funds.........ironic, don't you think?

No, its not my claim, but the ruling by the Board of Internal Economy........as said countless times.

Me backing down: versus:

Where? Yes, as reported in the MSM for months. I provided the minutes for the final ruling, I have zero intention of going through several years of minutes to locate the numerous rulings on over 23 NDP MPs..........is you want that, hire an intern or "go fetch"..... I provided the Members By-Law, afforded to the Board of Internal Economy via the Parliament of Canada Act.......if you wish to find which specific rule was broken by which NDP MP........Go fetch!!!!!

About flipping time, I'm sure more State Guard units and the DoD will reverse this nonsensical policy, first started under the Bush White House, then further compounded by Clinton:

And several responses from others in the GOP field: Rick Perry: Jeb Bush: Scott Walker: Rubio: From the RNC: And, the best, from Mitt Romney: And this guy: was also on Twitter today commenting on what he feels is important: Class versus the Ass.....