sir_springer Posted December 9, 2003 Report Posted December 9, 2003 Then consider this one... Tuesday, Dec. 09, 2003 CNEWS Poll Which federal political party will you support in the next election? Total Votes for this Question: 7073 So far, 30% have voted for Liberal So far, 44% have voted for Conservative So far, 11% have voted for NDP So far, 1% have voted for Bloc Quebecois So far, 3% have voted for Other So far, 11% have voted for Not Sure Quote
Neal.F. Posted December 9, 2003 Report Posted December 9, 2003 While these numbers are encouraging, they must be tempered with the lack of Quebec participation in an English media outlet's online polling (Ironically, CNews is owned by Quebecor). I think if you included a Quebc snapshot, the results would be more like this: LPC: 42% CPC: 34% NDP: 12% Bloc: 8% oth: 4% That is probably closer to how things really look out there. In terms of seats, that would translate roughly as follows: BC: CPC:26 LPC:8 NDP:4 --- AB: CPC: 26 LPC:2 --- SK: CPC:6 LPC:2 NDP:6 --- MB: LPC:5 CPC:5 NDP:4 --- Ont: LPC:62 CPC:40 NDP:5 --- QC: LPC: 55 BQ: 18 CPC: 2 --- NB: LPC: 5 CPC:5 --- NS: CPC:6 LPC:4 NDP:1 --- PEI: LPC:3 CPC:1 --- NF: CPC:5 LPC:2 --- Ter: LPC:2 CPC:1 --- Totals: LPC:152 CPC: 123 NDP: 20 BQ:18 Now there are rumours of the iminent unravelling of the Bloc, and given the social Democratic inclinations of many, if Jack Layton is astute, he is probably courting some right now. If he could score a few of them, it would establish an NDP beachhead in Quebec, and possibly alter the results . Note the NDP has always favoured the right to self determination for Quebec, so for some it would be a good fit. Some came from Tory ranks, so these might go to the CPC. There already a rumour that Pierrette venne may go CPC. Many though, beingv oppoirtunistic will jump to Team martin. Quebec is the big wild card. How well Martin does there will determine whether it will be a majority for him or not. The CPC does NOT have the organization on the ground in Quebec to generate significant numbers of seats . Their best hope is to get Bloc defectors, or the votes of anti-liberal Bloc supporters. Quote
Michael Hardner Posted December 9, 2003 Report Posted December 9, 2003 Are you saying that you think this is an accurate poll ? Quote Click to learn why Climate Change is caused by HUMANS Michael Hardner
Neal.F. Posted December 9, 2003 Report Posted December 9, 2003 Please read what I said about the Quebec factor not being taken into account, and my attemptv to build it in. Quote
dnsfurlan Posted December 9, 2003 Report Posted December 9, 2003 Is this an "internet" poll where any chump clicks a button and tallies their vote? If it is, I think its meaningless. Is there a link to this poll? Quote
sir_springer Posted December 10, 2003 Author Report Posted December 10, 2003 http://cnews.canoe.ca/CNEWS/Politics/ Update: CNEWS Poll Which federal political party will you support in the next election? Total Votes for this Question: 8532 So far, 30% have voted for Liberal So far, 44% have voted for Conservative So far, 11% have voted for NDP So far, 1% have voted for Bloc Quebecois So far, 3% have voted for Other So far, 11% have voted for Not Sure Quote
KrustyKidd Posted December 10, 2003 Report Posted December 10, 2003 They have to make a deal with the devil to win. Do the Liberal thing and buy votes with a $200 cheque to people who normally don't vote. Tell them that if they get in they will .... Bigger cells for convicts, free TVs to seniors, free tuition for university students, free portfolio for any Liberal backbencher that converts, guaranteed ratios and positions for fag MPs, promise to settle all Aborigional issues withing two years. Anything. Can always do the Liberal thing if they have a problem later, just don't deliver. Main thing is, get the votes, One more thing, (advice from a former girl friend) don't let anybody on camera who has a haircut like John Charest. Serious. Quote We're Paratroopers Lieutenant. We're supposed to be surrounded - CPT Richard Winters
theWatcher Posted December 10, 2003 Report Posted December 10, 2003 Neal F. Does your crystal ball really show 2 liberals in Alberta? Sigh. Kilgour is my MP and all my friends laugh at me for having a Liberal representing me. I was hoping the merger might expunge both of them. Anything else after that is just gravy for me. Quote
Slavik44 Posted December 10, 2003 Report Posted December 10, 2003 Neal F. Does your crystal ball really show 2 liberals in Alberta?Sigh. Kilgour is my MP and all my friends laugh at me for having a Liberal representing me. I was hoping the merger might expunge both of them. Anything else after that is just gravy for me. i would agree with you man i can't see the liberals keeping 2 seats in Alberta..they were close enough when the vote was split, i can see alberta getting a full slate of conservative MP's, and i don't need a poll or survey to predict that Quote The only power any government has is the power to crack down on criminals. Well, when there aren't enough criminals, one makes them. One declares so many things to be a crime that it becomes impossible for men to live without breaking laws. - Ayn Rand --------- http://www.politicalcompass.org/ Economic Left/Right: 4.75 Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: -5.54 Last taken: May 23, 2007
Goldie Posted December 10, 2003 Report Posted December 10, 2003 Neal NDP will never gain in Quebec. They loved Ed Broadbent but won't vote that party. Quote
Neal.F. Posted December 10, 2003 Report Posted December 10, 2003 On the two in Alberta, for one thing, the nickname REDmonton didn't just pop out of nowhere... and secondly, both are expected to have cabinet posts, McLellan to get the biggie, Finance. If they electe even two, it will be those two. I wonder how Kilgour and his new caucus colleague Brison will get along. Quote
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