Quebec, Alberta & Federal Government

[August1991]

In Fall 2026, the CAQ will not win re-election. I suspect that it will be a PQ majority. (The Liberals have no chance... )

Alberta? If anything, some people now prefer a referendum.

And we have a federal government with a very, very ambitious clueless PM - but a bare minority.

Hmmm.

Edited Sunday at 07:00 AM by August1991

[CdnFox]

9 hours ago, August1991 said:

In Fall 2026, the CAQ will not win re-election. I suspect that it will be a PQ majority. (The Liberals have no chance... )

Alberta? If anything, some people now prefer a referendum.

And we have a federal government with a very, very ambitious clueless PM - but a bare minority.

Hmmm.

Interesting times  

 

[August1991]

Carney has a razor-thin majority - dependent on the NPD (look at the members) or BQ.

For votes, he needs a good whip.

Unlike Mulroney or Chretien, Carney is not a good caucus leader.

 

[August1991]

I have always thought that a US President without partisan Senate support is a goner.

And a Canadian federal PM without caucus support is a loser.

[CdnFox]

2 hours ago, August1991 said:

Carney has a razor-thin majority - dependent on the NPD (look at the members) or BQ.

For votes, he needs a good whip.

Unlike Mulroney or Chretien, Carney is not a good caucus leader.

 

No, he has a strong minority. He does not have a majority.

Agreed though that he doesn't seem to be a very good caucus leader

[August1991]

3 hours ago, CdnFox said:

No, he has a strong minority. He does not have a majority.

Agreed though that he doesn't seem to be a very good caucus leader

Correct. Razor-thin majority.

====

Have you read Crosbie's book No Holds Barred?

In 1971 or so, he wanted to defeat Smallwood - a member from Labrador had the deciding vote.

Such is politics.

Carney is forced to do such deals now.

[August1991]

I saw Mulroney in caucus. In his office, among cabinet ministers. In public, in private, he was a master.

I saw Chretien in private and random crowds. He was remarkable.

Chretien liked meeting people, kids in particular.

[August1991]

Meech Lake

1995

According to the ever predictable CBC's Andrew Coyne and so-called Quebec expert Chantal Hebert:

"Let's see."

====

Disagree. Carney did not win a clear majority.

The PQ will win in 2026.
Alberta will hold a referendum. (It will lose - but the vote will be higher than Quebec's 1980).

Think:

In 1980, 40% of people in Quebec wanted a sovereign state.