Asa Hutchinson "Trumps probably getting convicted next year"

[CrakHoBarbie]

16 minutes ago, impartialobserver said:

Odds... that is probability. I am talking about actual events not predictions. Again, we shall see how it goes. If he is convicted then so be it. If not, so be it as wel. 

Great. At least you're admitting that Donalds "probably" gunna be convicted.

Such an important breakthrough for you!!

[robosmith]

21 minutes ago, impartialobserver said:

Odds... that is probability. I am talking about actual events not predictions. Again, we shall see how it goes. If he is convicted then so be it. If not, so be it as wel. 

Any time you're discussing future events, that is predictions.

95% probability with 91 trials is virtual certainty of success.

AKA, I'll take those odds any day.

[impartialobserver]

40 minutes ago, CrakHoBarbie said:

Great. At least you're admitting that Donalds "probably" gunna be convicted.

Such an important breakthrough for you!!

You act like I care about the result.. I do not. I just am pointing out that there have been a lot of failed predictions. 

[CdnFox]

1 hour ago, robosmith said:

Do you know what the Federal conviction success rate is? 95%

Obviously if there's been no previous (to last 2 years) indictments, there have been no convictions.

The evidence you cite for your belief makes no sense in the present context cause the odds are now drastically different.

Do you know what the federal conviction success rate is against trump so far? 00%

Do you know what you and your kind's failure rate in predicting hes' going to be convicted any day now for the last 7 years is? 100%

Call us when he's convinced.

God you're sounding absolutely desperate.  I seriously worry for your heath if he isn't convinced, you're already almost having an annurism.

[Hodad]

6 hours ago, impartialobserver said:

So in short.. no. Why post all this ^^^^ when two letters said the exact same thing? I do not care about all of the details.. all I know is that he has not been convicted yet and many have been predicting for years that it would happen any day now. well.. after so many failed predictions, like any other human.. I tune it out. 

 

?? I don't know of anyone who predicted he'd be convicted while in office. As longstanding policy, they don't prosecute sitting Presidents. There was no chance of him even coming to trial  But many have predicted that he would face charges after leaving office, and indeed that came to pass. 

This is not a guy who has been beating the odds in court or anything. I'm not sure why you'd think that someone facing 90 felony charges doesn't stand a pretty good chance of at least one conviction. 

Edited November 8, 2023 by Hodad

[robosmith]

On 11/7/2023 at 9:59 PM, Hodad said:

?? I don't know of anyone who predicted he'd be convicted while in office. As longstanding policy, they don't prosecute sitting Presidents. There was no chance of him even coming to trial  But many have predicted that he would face charges after leaving office, and indeed that came to pass. 

This is not a guy who has been beating the odds in court or anything. I'm not sure why you'd think that someone facing 90 felony charges doesn't stand a pretty good chance of at least one conviction. 

I don't think he believes that. He's just trying very hard to ignore the probability and using a completely different context to justify that.

[CdnFox]

1 hour ago, robosmith said:

I don't think he believes that.

Of course he doesn't  - that's not what he said all.  But as usual, @Hodad and you have to lie about what people said to try to make a point rather than dealing with it honestly.

He never claimed that trump would never be convicted - he said that after listening to your type claim conviction was just around the corner for year after year that he's not interested in hearing it anymore, he'll wait till it happens and then we can discuss it.

Which is fair.

And absolutely people predicted it when he was in office.  Frequently. The mueller report was going to send him to jail, honest, this was, that was, he was going to be impeached etc etc.

IT's entirely fair to say after your guys constant lies and being wrong for 7 flipping years that nobody wants to listen to you be wrong anymore. If he gets convicted we can talk about it.