cybercoma Posted October 15, 2015 Author Report Posted October 15, 2015 Updated Seat PredictionNL: LPC 6, NDP 1NS: LPC 9, NDP 2PE: LPC 4NB: LPC 5, CPC 4, NDP 1QC: LPC 21, CPC 12, NDP 33, BQ 12ON: LPC 60, CPC 41, NDP 20MB: LPC 4, CPC 8, NDP 2SK: LPC 1, CPC 9, NDP 4AB: LPC 4, CPC 27, NDP 3BC: LPC 12, CPC 12, NDP 16, GRN 2YT: LPC 1NW: NDP 1NU: LPC 1Total Projected Seats:LPC 128CPC 113NDP 83GRN 2BQ 12Liberal Minority Government Quote
webc5 Posted October 15, 2015 Report Posted October 15, 2015 ^^^^ I'm really hoping for this kind of seat projection. Quote
Smeelious Posted October 15, 2015 Report Posted October 15, 2015 (edited) Obviously....it'll be Blue Jays 204 Toronto FCC 104 Everyone else 0 Still quite a few people that still think Harper has a chance though. Edited October 15, 2015 by Smeelious Quote
cybercoma Posted October 15, 2015 Author Report Posted October 15, 2015 There's 338 seats this time. Quote
Evening Star Posted October 15, 2015 Report Posted October 15, 2015 BQ 12 Have they been surging lately? This is by far the biggest number I have seen anyone give for them. Quote
cybercoma Posted October 15, 2015 Author Report Posted October 15, 2015 Have they been surging lately? This is by far the biggest number I have seen anyone give for them. It's quite a bit higher, but given that they're just under 20% in Quebec according to Nanos and how close they were to the NDP in a number of ridings, I'm going out on a limb by giving them the benefit of the doubt in a number of places in QC. Quote
ReeferMadness Posted October 15, 2015 Report Posted October 15, 2015 Updated Seat Prediction NL: LPC 6, NDP 1 NS: LPC 9, NDP 2 PE: LPC 4 NB: LPC 5, CPC 4, NDP 1 QC: LPC 21, CPC 12, NDP 33, BQ 12 ON: LPC 60, CPC 41, NDP 20 MB: LPC 4, CPC 8, NDP 2 SK: LPC 1, CPC 9, NDP 4 AB: LPC 4, CPC 27, NDP 3 BC: LPC 12, CPC 12, NDP 16, GRN 2 YT: LPC 1 NW: NDP 1 NU: LPC 1 Total Projected Seats: LPC 128 CPC 113 NDP 83 GRN 2 BQ 12 Liberal Minority Government It looks pretty close to me but I'm think you're being a bit generous with the BQ. Quote Unlimited economic growth has the marvelous quality of stilling discontent while preserving privilege, a fact that has not gone unnoticed among liberal economists. - Noam Chomsky It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding it. - Upton Sinclair
On Guard for Thee Posted October 15, 2015 Report Posted October 15, 2015 Poll Tracker as of yesterday (14th) shows: Lib 140 CPC 110 NDP 86 BQ 1 GP 1 Quote
cybercoma Posted October 15, 2015 Author Report Posted October 15, 2015 It looks pretty close to me but I'm think you're being a bit generous with the BQ. You're probably right, but generosity with the BQ is the only place I can find NDP weakness. Quote
Hydraboss Posted October 15, 2015 Report Posted October 15, 2015 There's 338 seats this time. The rest obviously go to Chris Hadfield. Quote "racist, intolerant, small-minded bigot" - AND APPARENTLY A SOCIALIST (2010) (2015)Economic Left/Right: 8.38 3.38 Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: 3.13 -1.23
Smeelious Posted October 16, 2015 Report Posted October 16, 2015 The rest obviously go to Chris Hadfield. There we go! Problem solved. Quote
BC_chick Posted October 16, 2015 Report Posted October 16, 2015 (edited) BC: LPC 12, CPC 12, NDP 16, GRN 2 In which riding do you think the Greens will get their 2nd seat? They're not even in second place anywhere. Edited October 16, 2015 by BC_chick Quote It's kind of the worst thing that any humans could be doing at this time in human history. Other than that, it's fine." Bill Nye on Alberta Oil Sands
cybercoma Posted October 16, 2015 Author Report Posted October 16, 2015 In which riding do you think the Greens will get their 2nd seat? They're not even in second place anywhere.Victoria. Quote
BC_chick Posted October 16, 2015 Report Posted October 16, 2015 Victoria. My bad, they are polling second there. NDP is polling very strong there (40% to 28%) but I hope you're right. Quote It's kind of the worst thing that any humans could be doing at this time in human history. Other than that, it's fine." Bill Nye on Alberta Oil Sands
cybercoma Posted October 16, 2015 Author Report Posted October 16, 2015 Yeah. If it doesn't go to the Greens it'll go NDP, but I'm hearing there's internal polling on the ground there that has the Green candidate ahead. Take it for what it's worth. Quote
On Guard for Thee Posted October 16, 2015 Report Posted October 16, 2015 Victoria. Not to go against the Greens, but I reckon second place was sort of handed to them when the Lib candidate had to bow out. I suspect Murray Rankin is a pretty safe bet in Victoria. Quote
cybercoma Posted October 16, 2015 Author Report Posted October 16, 2015 I think a lot of people will be surprised on election day. I could be wrong, but Bruce Hyer's seat can go either way too. So if they don't pick up Victoria, they may pick up Thunder Bay–Superior North and it won't change much with my overall prediction. It's possible they lose both though and only end up with May in Parliament again. That's the safest bet, but I didn't go safe with my predictions. Quote
ReeferMadness Posted October 16, 2015 Report Posted October 16, 2015 My bad, they are polling second there. NDP is polling very strong there (40% to 28%) but I hope you're right. That's not true - they are neck and neck in Victoria. Quote Unlimited economic growth has the marvelous quality of stilling discontent while preserving privilege, a fact that has not gone unnoticed among liberal economists. - Noam Chomsky It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding it. - Upton Sinclair
On Guard for Thee Posted October 16, 2015 Report Posted October 16, 2015 I think a lot of people will be surprised on election day. I could be wrong, but Bruce Hyer's seat can go either way too. So if they don't pick up Victoria, they may pick up Thunder Bay–Superior North and it won't change much with my overall prediction. It's possible they lose both though and only end up with May in Parliament again. That's the safest bet, but I didn't go safe with my predictions. I suspect you are absolutely right about an interesting election day come Monday. Especially with the late breaking news stuff regarding Gagnier, and then the onslaught on Harper's nasty attack ads. In the short time left we will only see the effects, if any, on the 19th. Quote
BC_chick Posted October 16, 2015 Report Posted October 16, 2015 That's not true - they are neck and neck in Victoria. I got my numbers from 308 after reading CC's post but OGFT's post shed light on things since my earlier post. Good for the Greens, that's awesome. Quote It's kind of the worst thing that any humans could be doing at this time in human history. Other than that, it's fine." Bill Nye on Alberta Oil Sands
On Guard for Thee Posted October 16, 2015 Report Posted October 16, 2015 I got my numbers from 308 after reading CC's post but OGFT's post shed light on things since my earlier post. Good for the Greens, that's awesome. If Elizabeth May was in my riding, I'd likely vote for her. But ssshhh, don't tell my drinking buddy who once sat as premier here. Quote
ReeferMadness Posted October 16, 2015 Report Posted October 16, 2015 If Elizabeth May was in my riding, I'd likely vote for her. But ssshhh, don't tell my drinking buddy who once sat as premier here. You're drinking buddies with Bill Vander Zalm? That's awesome! Quote Unlimited economic growth has the marvelous quality of stilling discontent while preserving privilege, a fact that has not gone unnoticed among liberal economists. - Noam Chomsky It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding it. - Upton Sinclair
BC_chick Posted October 16, 2015 Report Posted October 16, 2015 If Elizabeth May was in my riding, I'd likely vote for her. But ssshhh, don't tell my drinking buddy who once sat as premier here. I'll tell you whose parsed posts I like if you tell me who your drinking buddy is. Quote It's kind of the worst thing that any humans could be doing at this time in human history. Other than that, it's fine." Bill Nye on Alberta Oil Sands
On Guard for Thee Posted October 16, 2015 Report Posted October 16, 2015 I'll tell you whose parsed posts I like if you tell me who your drinking buddy is. Well if you do Hart NDP you may have liked Dan Miller. Quote
On Guard for Thee Posted October 16, 2015 Report Posted October 16, 2015 You're drinking buddies with Bill Vander Zalm? That's awesome! No I was not much of a Vander Zalm fan, but I did land one time in his fantasy gardens. Quote
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