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Posted

There is a thin slice of land on the Eastern border of Moldavia that may be the next Russian “liberation”. Some 96% of its voters wanted to be part of Russia in a 2006 poll, but Russia refused. The situation is quite different now.

Russian annexation of Transnistria would place the Ukraine in a three sided squeeze by Russian troops. Would the West increase sanctions on Russia because of annexing an area with 96% allegiance to Russia?

Because of the Russian military contingent already present in Transnistria, the European Court of Human Rights already considers Transnistria "under the effective authority or at least decisive influence of Russia".

Is Transnistria the bridge to Moldavia for Russia?

Note - For those expecting a response from Big Guy: I generally do not read or respond to posts longer then 300 words nor to parsed comments.

Posted

Look at the map. Annexation of Transnistria itself changes a little. Russian 14th Army is already there. Big problems will appear if Russia rams a land corridor to Transnistria from Crimea or even from Southern Russia (Rostov region). Several Ukrainian regions must be occupied by Russia. This will be a choking squeeze for Ukraine. The loss of those regions, not Russian presence in Transnistria is a major threat for Ukraine.

This scenario cannot be excluded.

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