Latest Poll 27 Apr 2004

[August1991]

You can read the pdf file here:

SES Research

Lib 40

CPC 27

NDP 17

BQ 12

Green 4

Undecid 17

20 Apr - 25 Apr, 1000 sample size, by phone.

I'd say a Spring election just became more certain. And I'd keep an eye on the undecided in these polls. How about an "intend to vote" question?

[theWatcher]

I've been polled 3 times in the last two weeks, I must be lucky or something.

I said I'd vote Liberal each time.

Can't wait to stick it to Martin...

[BigGunner]

SES Poll doesn't break the poll into provincial tallies outside of Que/Ontario, so regionally speaking in the west;

Conservatives 35%

Liberals 32%

NDP 23%

But since we can all agree that the Conservatives are ahead in Alberta by a thousand miles, we can reasonably conclude that the conservatives are behind in the other western provinces outside Alberta.

IF all PC and Alliance voters had voted for one conservative party in 2000, this would have been the western support tally

2000

Conservative 60%

Liberals 25%

NDP 12%

Other 3%

You do the math...conservatives are down a whopping 25 points from 2000, the Liberals gain 7 points from 2000, and the NDP has gained 11 points.

Conservatives must be encouraged by apparent gains in Ontario, but must be spooked at impending losses coming up from the west. Every poll is confirming this. From Ipsos-Reid to Environics, and now SES...

This election oughta be really fun