White Doors Posted October 8, 2008 Report Share Posted October 8, 2008 LOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOL ~blush~ I have a fan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cybercoma Posted October 8, 2008 Report Share Posted October 8, 2008 LOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOL Oh, those were the days when people actually thought that the Cons had a chance at a majority...LOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOL What's particularly funny is that you haven't put forward your ideas to be criticized, yet here you are, guffawing at the opinion of others. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cybercoma Posted October 8, 2008 Report Share Posted October 8, 2008 (edited) CPC: 134 LPC: 99 NDP: 31 BQ: 42 GPC: 1 Ind: 1 Just a stab at her. Voter turnout (63%) Edited October 9, 2008 by cybercoma Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
capricorn Posted October 8, 2008 Report Share Posted October 8, 2008 CPC 136 LPC 100 BQ 41 NDP 30 IND 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdobbin Posted October 8, 2008 Report Share Posted October 8, 2008 The way the economy has gone, I no longer feel the Liberal vote will completely collapse. However, the surge for the Tories is over. They will win more seats and form the government based on today's numbers. The trend is not good though for Harper. The longer this goes on, the closer the numbers are going to get. I think a Tory minority government. Conservative 130 Liberal 100 Bloc 46 NDP 32 Green 0 Total: 308 seats Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
guyser Posted October 8, 2008 Report Share Posted October 8, 2008 Conservatives....158Liberals...............93 Bloc Quebecois....42 NDP................... 14 Independent..........1 Total.................308 Voter turn out...49% (46% if it rains) Thats cheating ! (can I change my numbers ? nah, leave mine as is...) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nothinarian Posted October 8, 2008 Report Share Posted October 8, 2008 CPC - 124 LPC - 106 BQ - 48 NDP - 28 Ind - 2 Tories should rebound after Dion muses re: transition team Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
capricorn Posted October 9, 2008 Report Share Posted October 9, 2008 Tories should rebound after Dion muses re: transition team I watched his interview with Mansbridge tonight. Mansbridge asked him if there was a role for Elizabeth May in a Dion government. Dion went in all directions and didn't answer the question other than to say he would like to see her in the House of Commons. Then they talked about his deal with May about not running a Liberal candidate in Peter MacKay's riding (Central Nova). In the next breath, he's begging voters not to vote Green but to vote Liberal to stop Harper. Excuse me, Mr. Dion, Central Nova does not have a Liberal candidate to vote for. What a doofus. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jerry J. Fortin Posted October 9, 2008 Report Share Posted October 9, 2008 Conservatives....132 Liberals..............130 Bloc Quebecois....28 NDP................... 18 Green...................0 Total.................308 Surprise time Mr. Harper, he wins but he does not. A coalition is form! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
capricorn Posted October 9, 2008 Report Share Posted October 9, 2008 Jerry, you've got the BQ at 28. Is there a reason you see them so low in number of seats? Just curious. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kengs333 Posted October 9, 2008 Report Share Posted October 9, 2008 What's particularly funny is that you haven't put forward your ideas to be criticized, yet here you are, guffawing at the opinion of others. Sometime over the weekend I should be posting something, and I'll out-do all of yous guys by doing it by riding, or at least provincially... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
M.Dancer Posted October 9, 2008 Author Report Share Posted October 9, 2008 Sometime over the weekend I should be posting something, and I'll out-do all of yous guys by doing it by riding, or at least provincially... Yeah we can predict PEI..... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nothinarian Posted October 9, 2008 Report Share Posted October 9, 2008 I watched his interview with Mansbridge tonight. Mansbridge asked him if there was a role for Elizabeth May in a Dion government. Dion went in all directions and didn't answer the question other than to say he would like to see her in the House of Commons. Then they talked about his deal with May about not running a Liberal candidate in Peter MacKay's riding (Central Nova). In the next breath, he's begging voters not to vote Green but to vote Liberal to stop Harper. Excuse me, Mr. Dion, Central Nova does not have a Liberal candidate to vote for. What a doofus. Maybe didn't understand May question becasue of hearing issue Gotta love the irony but he is looking better and somewhat understandable Like his stable as well for front bench especialliy with Brison/McCallum on finance issues Harper should have gone in summer as soon as GShift was announced but hindsight is 20-20 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cybercoma Posted October 9, 2008 Report Share Posted October 9, 2008 That's registered voters, not the % of Canadians.http://www.sfu.ca/~aheard/elections/historical-turnout.html % of eligible voters is the metric most commonly used... % of canadians is useless. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
M.Dancer Posted October 9, 2008 Author Report Share Posted October 9, 2008 % of eligible voters is the metric most commonly used... % of canadians is useless. I agree, but that was the number I saw and used so I have to be consistent... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Motoro Posted October 10, 2008 Report Share Posted October 10, 2008 308 seats up for grabs....308 points to score. Subtract 1 point for each seat off your prediction...NO "OTHER"...either independant or party name Tie Breaker....% voter turn out PREDICT EARLY AND PREDICT OFTEN>>>> Just a thought...wouldn't a better tiebreaker be whoever made the earlier prediction? (i.e. someone who made a prediction at the start of the campaign without the benefit of the last polls should get the nod over someone who waits to the last minute. All posts would have a time stamp, even the edited ones.) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kengs333 Posted October 11, 2008 Report Share Posted October 11, 2008 (edited) Here's what I got so far: NL - all Liberal PEI - all Liberal Nunavut - Liberal Western Arctic - Liberal Yukon - Liberal NB Liberal: Beausejour, Fredericton, Fundy Royal, Madawaska, Miramichi, Moncton, Saint John, Tobique NDP: Acadie Conservative: NB-SW NS Liberal: Cape Breton, Halifax West, Kings-Hants, Sydney, West Nova NDP: Dartmouth, Halifax, Sackville, South Shore Green: Central Nova Independent: Cumberland PQ Bloc: 54; Liberal: 17; NDP: 2; Ind.: 1; Con: 1 ON Liberal: 52; Con: 36; NDP: 16; Green: 1; Ind.: 1 MB Con: 10; NDP: 3; Liberal: 1 SK - all Conservative except Wascana (Liberal) AB - all Conservative BC Con: 15; NDP: 13; Liberal: 7; Green: 1 TOTAL Liberal - 105 Conservative - 104 Bloc - 54 NDP - 39 Green - 3 Ind. - 3 Edited October 14, 2008 by kengs333 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Doors Posted October 13, 2008 Report Share Posted October 13, 2008 Here's what I got so far:NL - all Liberal PEI - all Liberal Nunavut - Liberal Western Arctic - Liberal Yukon - Liberal NB Liberal: Beausejour, Fredericton, Fundy Royal, Madawaska, Miramichi, Moncton, Saint John, Tobique NDP: Acadie Conservative: NB-SW NS Liberal: Cape Breton, Halifax West, Kings-Hants, Sydney, West Nova NDP: Dartmouth, Halifax, Sackville, South Shore Green: Central Nova Independent: Cumberland SK - all Conservative except Wascana (Liberal) AB - all Conservative This was the election predictor thread, not your Christmas wish list thread. Fundy Royal liberal? hahaha Central Nova?? hahahaha Can't wait to see how you do! hahahahaha Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vancouver King Posted October 13, 2008 Report Share Posted October 13, 2008 Another Conservative minority on the way. CPC - 142 Libs - 82 NDP - 36 Bloc - 48 ______________ 308 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
normanchateau Posted October 13, 2008 Report Share Posted October 13, 2008 Prediction for 2008 election: CPC 125 Liberal 94 NDP 36 BQ 51 Green 0 Other 2 The Liberals and NDP won't form a coalition even though they will be able to outvote the Conservatives. At the dissolution of Parliament last month, the party standings were: CPC 127 Liberal 96 NDP 30 BQ 48 Green 1 Other 3 Vacant 3 As I type this, the Dow Jones is up more than 900 points. Unfortunately for Harper, any financial turnaround at this stage is too late to change tomorrow's results significantly. The election will have cost Canada more than a third of a billion dollars and Harper will have contemptuously defied his own fixed-date election legislation. For a leader who prides himself on not taking risks, Harper took a huge gamble. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nothinarian Posted October 13, 2008 Report Share Posted October 13, 2008 Atlantic Canada is something like: Nfld - (keep Avalon but lose 2 in St Johns)5 lib, 1 NDP, 1 Cons NS (status quo) - 6 Libs , 2 Cons , 2 NDP, 1 Ind PEI - (Cons pick-up Egmont) 3 Libs, 1 Con NB - (Cons pick-up Fredericton) 5 Libs , 4 Cons , 1 - NDP Atlantic Total Libs - 19, Cons - 8, NDP - 4, Ind - 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
normanchateau Posted October 13, 2008 Report Share Posted October 13, 2008 Atlantic Canada is something like:Nfld - (keep Avalon but lose 2 in St Johns)5 lib, 1 NDP, 1 Cons NS (status quo) - 6 Libs , 2 Cons , 2 NDP, 1 Ind PEI - (Cons pick-up Egmont) 3 Libs, 1 Con NB - (Cons pick-up Fredericton) 5 Libs , 4 Cons , 1 - NDP Atlantic Total Libs - 19, Cons - 8, NDP - 4, Ind - 1 Atlantic Canada prediction: Liberal 22 CPC 4 NDP 5 Ind 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nothinarian Posted October 13, 2008 Report Share Posted October 13, 2008 Atlantic Canada prediction:Liberal 22 CPC 4 NDP 5 Ind 1 LIbs at 22 - Is that based on Libs holding Egmont, Fredericton and picking up Avalon while NDP pick up South Shore Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kengs333 Posted October 13, 2008 Report Share Posted October 13, 2008 This was the election predictor thread, not your Christmas wish list thread. Fundy Royal liberal? hahaha Central Nova?? hahahaha Can't wait to see how you do! hahahahaha You know, I was going to spare myself doing the rest and just do what everyone else is doing, but now I think I shall continue... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
normanchateau Posted October 13, 2008 Report Share Posted October 13, 2008 LIbs at 22 - Is that based on Libs holding Egmont, Fredericton and picking up Avalon while NDP pick up South Shore It assumes no change in NB and PEI, CPC losing South Shore to the NDP , and losing Avalon and St. John's South to the Liberals and St. John's east to the NDP. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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