FPTP is an elderly system built for two national parties and a few regional parties. Smaller national parties are wasting their time and I think voters are wising up to that.
I don’t like FPTP at all but I’m not sure I care for this protest either:
https://www.ctvnews.ca/federal-election-2025/article/elections-canada-managing-long-ballot-with-90-candidates-challenging-poilievre/
Apparently, the Liberals outperformed in the advance vote which is counted late in a lot of cases. They may break even in Atlantic Canada and a majority government is possible. .
The speed of that shocked me.
Imagine the number of politicians of every party muttering, ”you jammy bastard” (the Liberals very softly), as they watch Carney accepting the crown. Talk about timing.
You should see my record of predictions on elections, horses, cars, stocks, girlfriends, investment advisers - a litany of disaster. The more it mattered the wronger I was.
2:2. I don’t know if these votes tend to come from smaller places with more remote workers in Alberta. If they’re representative it looks like a swing to the Tories.
Clifford Small is ahead for the Cons in Central Newfoundland. I believe he is the only sitting Tory in the province and it was a solid Liberal seat for decades before the last election.