It all comes back to the primaries.......I would hedge that if he doesn't win Iowa, his numbers will tank......he might be polling at ~40%, but all that means is that ~60% of the GOP don't support him.......One of the network talking heads made a good point the other night, if everyone other than Trump/Rubio/Bush/Cruz/Christie drops out, the State by State races will look quite different.........four years ago, Gingrich was polling at 37% over Romney.......