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Will the current Government last longer than Pearson's second Minority?  

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Posted

The current minority Government will become the fourth longest minority Government in Canadian history early in the fall, assuming that Harper doesn't recall Parliament in the next month and lose a vote of no confidence. (Link)

Technically the Government is still the sixth longest minority Government in Canadian history. Even if an election were called today it would become the fifth longest before a vote were actually held.

Due to the fixed election date legislation it cannot surpass the first and second longest minority Governments. If the next election is held after September 2008 the current Government passes Pearson's second minority and becomes the third longest. But will it make it to third longest?

I think it will. Canadians don't really want another election anytime soon. As October 19th, 2009 draws closer it will become increasingly more difficult for the opposition, or the Government, to force an early election.

No one has ever defeated the Liberals with a divided conservative family. - Hon. Jim Prentice

Posted

I think with Harper's move on the Afghan front (having parliament requiring support for an extension beyond 2009) he's taken all of the bullets away from the opposition. The only thing left is the environment. A Dion win would cost Canada between $10Billion-$20Billion if he were elected though Kyoto. Who in their right might would want that?

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