gatomontes99 Posted October 19, 2024 Report Posted October 19, 2024 Oooh, sexy headline. But it is factual and this data is interesting. https://www.realclearpolling.com/maps/president/2024/no-toss-up/electoral-college Do you see the pattern? Against Joe Biden, Trump improved, on election day, by an average of 3% in these key states. The pollsters are calling these pocket voters. They are people they aren't able to poll because the pollster don't know they exist. They are usually first time voters. The big question is, can Trump drum up 3% in new voters again? That's hard to say. But he may not need to. If the polls are under reporting his voters, then he is in a great position to win. He leads in every swing state, so any improvement just seals his victory. Quote The Rules for Liberal tactics: If they can't refute the content, attack the source. If they can't refute the content, attack the poster. If 1 and 2 fail, pretend it never happened. Everyone you disagree with is Hitler. A word is defined by the emotion it elicits and not the actual definition. If they are wrong, blame the opponent. If a liberal policy didn't work, it's a conservatives fault and vice versa. If all else fails, just be angry.
DUI_Offender Posted October 20, 2024 Report Posted October 20, 2024 Yes. Trump will once again do better on election night than the polls indicate. He will sadly become President again. Then JD Vance will invoke the 25th amendment when Trump's dementia worsens. So it's really a battle of Harris vs Vance at this point. Quote
CdnFox Posted October 20, 2024 Report Posted October 20, 2024 4 hours ago, DUI_Offender said: Yes. Trump will once again do better on election night than the polls indicate. He will sadly become President again. Then JD Vance will invoke the 25th amendment when Trump's dementia worsens. So it's really a battle of Harris vs Vance at this point. It's stunning to me how often the left projects its own failures on others Trump will be fine. JD will probably run in the next election for president. Quote
CdnFox Posted October 20, 2024 Report Posted October 20, 2024 12 hours ago, gatomontes99 said: Oooh, sexy headline. But it is factual and this data is interesting. https://www.realclearpolling.com/maps/president/2024/no-toss-up/electoral-college Do you see the pattern? Against Joe Biden, Trump improved, on election day, by an average of 3% in these key states. The pollsters are calling these pocket voters. They are people they aren't able to poll because the pollster don't know they exist. They are usually first time voters. The big question is, can Trump drum up 3% in new voters again? That's hard to say. But he may not need to. If the polls are under reporting his voters, then he is in a great position to win. He leads in every swing state, so any improvement just seals his victory. Other theories have been put forward. Trump tends to pull very well amongst the people who are the type who don't answer polls. Has contradictory is that sounds there's a lot of people who don't care that much about politics, hang up when they find out it's a poster, have better things to do with their lives and are just focused on getting by and getting to their kids to school and time in the morning and working their jobs. There's a strong indication that trump is very popular with these people. And these people are notoriously difficult to poll. But if they're motivated they show up on voting day. And that's one of the supposed reasons trump tends to do better. The people that don't show up on polls come out to vote for him in larger numbers. Normally that's not the group you want to be relying on, but when you're already slightly ahead it tends to put you over the top. And right now trump is slightly ahead in the swing states, at this point in time all of them are reporting that he's got a small lead. Take a look at the trend graph Trump is doing fairly strong kamala has been falling for at least 3 weeks. And it seems to be picking up the pace. Make no mistake, we are about a week away from this election slipping out of kamales grasp all together and being unrecoverable for her barring fantastic disaster for trump. Which is exactly what I said was going to happen in the same time frame I said it was going to happen back in august. Kamala was slowly sink the longer the election wore on and she needed to start off at least three or four points higher in the swing states so that she could survive the drop and still glide to victory. Otherwise she would quickly start to slowly sink with a final sharp Descent of the very end because she doesn't have the skills or the tools or the opportunity to stop it Quote
gatomontes99 Posted October 20, 2024 Author Report Posted October 20, 2024 11 hours ago, DUI_Offender said: Yes. Trump will once again do better on election night than the polls indicate. He will sadly become President again. Then JD Vance will invoke the 25th amendment when Trump's dementia worsens. So it's really a battle of Harris vs Vance at this point. Lmao...Trump shoes no signs of dementia. Quote The Rules for Liberal tactics: If they can't refute the content, attack the source. If they can't refute the content, attack the poster. If 1 and 2 fail, pretend it never happened. Everyone you disagree with is Hitler. A word is defined by the emotion it elicits and not the actual definition. If they are wrong, blame the opponent. If a liberal policy didn't work, it's a conservatives fault and vice versa. If all else fails, just be angry.
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