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Posted

Leger Marketing released another opinion poll today, June 9, 2004. Today's results are compared to previous Leger Marketing poll released on June 2, 2004 :

Libs: 33%, down 2%

Cons: 30%, flatlined

New Dem: 19%, up 2%

Bloc: 12%, flatlined

An education isn't how much you have committed to memory, or even how much you know. It's being able to differentiate between what you do know and what you don't.

Anatole France

Posted

This is absolutely fabulous news for Jack Layton and the New Democrats. ;)

An education isn't how much you have committed to memory, or even how much you know. It's being able to differentiate between what you do know and what you don't.

Anatole France

Posted

Who was it who said:

"The reports of my death have been greatly exaggerated."

It must have been a member of the New Democrats. :D

Actually it was Bob Hope, but, what the heck, close enough. B)

An education isn't how much you have committed to memory, or even how much you know. It's being able to differentiate between what you do know and what you don't.

Anatole France

Posted

Mark Twain.

This is absolutely fabulous news for Jack Layton and the New Democrats.

Only a true believer can find good news in placing third. Clearly the NDP poll numbers are bouncing around a true number of about 18%. This returns the NDP to its 1980s, pre-politically correct leaders.

The NDP will likely get around 35 seats and probably won't have the balance of power alone.

As to the main Lib vs CPC argument, I suspect this poll reflects the situation several days ago. The rolling SES poll is smaller but more accurate as voters decide.

Posted
Mark Twain.
This is absolutely fabulous news for Jack Layton and the New Democrats.

Only a true believer can find good news in placing third. Clearly the NDP poll numbers are bouncing around a true number of about 18%. This returns the NDP to its 1980s, pre-politically correct leaders.

The NDP will likely get around 35 seats and probably won't have the balance of power alone.

As to the main Lib vs CPC argument, I suspect this poll reflects the situation several days ago. The rolling SES poll is smaller but more accurate as voters decide.

To the NDP diehard, 19% is great, considering that they got 11% in 2000, and only 9% in 1993..

It represents a dramatic seat gain and perhaps kingmaker in many other ridings.

At 19%, the NDP is 6 points away from where the Alliance party finished in 2000.

its all in perspective :D

Posted
At 19%, the NDP is 6 points away from where the Alliance party finished in 2000.

its all in perspective 

In 1993 the PC's had 18% of the vote and ended up with 2 seat. Now the NDP will do better than this but I do not believe that they will get more than 25 seats.

Posted

Comparing PC voting patterns with the New Democrats is like comparing apples and oranges.

A much more realistic approach is to compare NDP polls and NDP votes.

Leger Marketing today shows the NDP at 19%, 1% off from when they reached their historic high of 43 seats out of 295 seats in 1988.

If the NDP were to poll the same 20%, they would obtain approximately 45 seats out of 308 seats this election. ;)

An education isn't how much you have committed to memory, or even how much you know. It's being able to differentiate between what you do know and what you don't.

Anatole France

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