Latest Opinion Poll (April 23, 2004)

[maplesyrup]

There will be an opinion poll released Friday, April 23, 2004, and apparently the results are not any different than the previous one. In other words, the Liberals are still stuck in a minority government position. Maybe it is an Environics poll, but not sure about that.

I wonder how Mr Democratic Deficit, PM Martin, is doing in BC, after appointing several candidates.

[BigGunner]

I'm curious about that opinion poll...can you provide us with a link?

[maplesyrup]

NDP surges in BC among other things

Jack Layton and Olivia Chow must be feeling very elated right about now.

[August1991]

Here's a link to a press release with all the stats.

If I understand properly, the sample size was some 2000 and the survey was done over a three week period ending 19 April.

Environics Poll

[maplesyrup]

Environics poll released April 23, 2004

1940 people surveyed (good size), between March 29 to April 18, 2004, the period which followed the Conservative leadership campaign, with its massive wall-to-wall media coverage.

Apr/04, Dec/03/2000 election

Canada

Bloc 11%, up 3%, no change

Cons 29%, up 5%, down 9%

Libs 39%, down 11%, down 2%

NDP 19%, up 4%, up 10% (Look at the momentum here)

Oth 3%, up 1%

Und 16%, up 5%

British Columbia

Bloc - n/a

Cons 30%, no change,

Libs 34%, down 12%

NDP 31%, up 8% (Look at the momentum here)

Oth

Und

Vancouver

Bloc - n/a

Cons 32%, up 1%

Libs 31%, down 12%

NDP 32%, up 9% (Look at the momentum here)

Oth

Und

Alberta

Bloc - n/a

Cons 58%, up 9%

Libs 27%, down 5%

NDP 14%, down 4%

Oth

Und

Saskatchewan

Bloc

Cons 45%, up 11%

Libs 27%, down 13%

NDP 27%, up 7% (Look at the momentum here)

Oth

Und

Manitoba

Bloc - n/a

Cons 32%, up 11%

Libs 35%, down 13%

NDP 32%, up 1%

Oth

Und

Ontario

Bloc - n/a

Cons 31%, up 7%

Libs 46%, down 14%

NDP 21%, up 7% (Look at the momentum here)

Oth

Und

Greater Toronto Area

Bloc - n/a

Cons 28%, up 11%

Libs 49%, down 18%

NDP 22%, up 8% (Look at the momentum here)

Oth

Und

Quebec

Bloc 45%, up 8%

Cons 8%, up 3%

Libs 37%, down 11%

NDP 8%, down 1%

Oth

Und

Montreal

Bloc 42%, up 8%

Cons 8%, up 6%

Libs 37%, down 16%

NDP 11%, up 1%

Oth

Und

Atlantic Region

Bloc - n/a

Cons 35%, up 8%

Libs 43%, down 12%

NDP 18%, up 2%

Oth

Und

[SirRiff]

if the libs get stuck with a minority gov they deserve it

even when the crisis broke i thought i would still vote lib, because, really, every alternative is just as corrupt. its the sad state of modern nations that corruption exists in every party. but i like liberal polices best, so why vote for others.

but then, i really dont like how they handled themselves. i was really looking for a Martin mea culpa i guess, but he is too slick for that.

so now i am thinking the only way i can cast another kind of vote is to vote NDP and stick liberals as a minority gov.

i am a bit worried about having a lame duck goverment, but as i recal in my poli sci classes, alot of minority govs have accomplished just as much as majorities in the last 50 years. so maybe it wouldnt be so bad for canada.

i do think the libs should be punished, but i jsut cant find too many alternaives and dont really want to contribute to a minority gov.

sirriff

[NDP Newbie]

I can't wait for coalition governments to become the norm when electoral reform comes a-knocking.

[August1991]

I can't wait for coalition governments to become the norm when electoral reform comes a-knocking.

Coalition? Minority government? The Canadian experience in such situations has been 'Tax and Spend'. Is that good for "Canada"?