So they picked a pope and the lesson of the story is "Teddy was way off" which I admit.
On the up side, if you had bet on the winner, you'd have won about $40 for every $1 you bet.
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Fun fact; there are 9 countries with between 20M and 40M catholics:
Venezuela, Germany, Peru, Poland, Spain, DR Congo, Argentina, Nigeria, and Colombia.
There are 2 between 40 and 60:
Italy and France
2 between 60 and 80
USA and Philippines
1 between 80 and 100
Mexico
and 1 over 120:
Brazil
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188 popes have been from what is today Italy
66 popes have not been from Italy, they were from:
20 from unknown locations
14 from France
6 from Germany
5 from Syria (Christian Syria)
5 from Greece
3 from Spain
3 from Tunisia (Carthage)
3 from Israel (Galilee)
2 from Portugal
1 from Croatia
1 from the Netherlands
1 from Poland
1 from England
and 1 from Argentina
Unless otherwise noted (in brackets), the pope shared the current ethnic ancestry of the land.