Hodad
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Everything posted by Hodad
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That's an absurd misapplication of "appeal to authority." It should be pretty obvious that people utterly lacking the intellect, training, or time to do their own scientific research on a specific subject MUST rely on authority to inform any decision. Indeed, one would have to be a brainless fool to ignore authority in the acquisition of knowledge. That's would negate the entire competitive advantage of written and oral knowledge transfer.ð Aside from that, what you claim is regarding AGW consensus is patently false. There IS an overwhelming consensus on human-driven climate change across all sciences, but especially scientists in the field. There is not a single major scientific body on the planet that rejects the premise. Since 2007, when the American Association of Petroleum Geologists released a revised statement, no longer does any national or international scientific body reject the findings of human-induced effects on climate change. And there is only one non-committal body. Yes, that's right. The Petroleum Geologists moved from "nope" to "no comment." ð Every other body accepts AGW as fact. And the actual research leaves no question. More than 99.9% of studies agree: Humans caused climate change You can be a flat-Earth kook, rejecting all science and sense. That's your prerogative. But you can't successfully pretend that the scientific question isn't settled. It is. Humans are driving climate change. The "if" is over. The details of how much, how bad, how soon, and what we can and should do about it are less settled to varying degrees, but everyone knows it means getting to carbon-neutral or negative ASAP.
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What worries me about a Biden 2nd Term
Hodad replied to Deluge's topic in Federal Politics in the United States
That's a great list. That info is freely available to anyone at FRED. This is, generally speaking, a very healthy economy, both in absolute terms and certainly in relative terms. One can cherry pick a weak spot here or there, but people mindlessly repeating that the economy is awful are just blind to the facts that show otherwise. -
Lol. No, you haven't. You've shown that a handful of people (a tiny minority) held that opinion of a paper from 30 years ago. That's fine. They were entitled to that opinion. And indeed, that's a self-correcting feature of science. But in this case their objections were not meaningful to the rest of the community and the consensus now approaches unanimity. You're busy boasting about climate change response being "over" while countries and corporations around the world are actively investing in mitigation strategies. You will likely be dead by the time things get really bad, but your kids aren't going to thank you. They'll wonder how their crazy old dad thought he knew better than the entire scientific community and why you didn't do more. And you are entirely clueless about economic data. I could give you all the charts and figures in the world and you'd be helpless to evaluate them. That's why you're linking to articles that directly contradict the point you'd like to make. That's not really my problem. You don't vote here. Laypeople are still shaken from the pandemic economy. Their view of the economy is emotional, like you. We'll see how many can catch up to the economic reality before the election.
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1. What an amazingly misplaced sense of self importance for an ignorant layperson to simple wave your hands and dismiss the overwhelming scientific consensus. -- And the word you're looking for is "moot." 2. You've literally posted an article about how American's negative sentiments are out of line with a robust economy. Which is what I've been telling--and showing with data--all along. ð American economic pessimism has been bafflingly persistent despite major indicators showing that the economy is actually strong. Unemployment is low, inflation is significantly down from its 2022 peak (if sticky and ticking up in the last month), wages are up, the stock market is hitting new all-time highs, and it looks like the Federal Reserve might be able to keep the US out of a recession. Nobody said it's a perfect economy or the best ever, but it is worlds better than what he inherited from Trump and in nearly every way equal to or better than Trump's pre-pandemic economy. In other words, an amazing recovery.
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Dude, you're a nut if you think that a bully getting verbally trolled is some kind of evidence of intolerance. I suppose next you'll tell me that the Black protestors at the lunch counters were bullying business owners. Or Rosa Parks was bullying a bus driver. So mean! Like I've said many times, tolerance does not mean tolerating intolerance. These people are saying Marginalized people can--and should--stand up for themselves against abuse and exclusion. And FFS, does it get more "snowflakey" than pretending the equivalent of a prank call is evidence of "gay thugs." GTFO. I'm not ignorant on christian views of homosexuality. But I think most so-called christians are ignorant of the alleged views of the Christ figure, who said nothing at all about homosexuality, and who was in the stories tolerant and inclusive of even those who may have "sinned." The Christ character could make bread for sinners, but this "christian" baker wouldn't sell those he judged a cake. ð
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What worries me about a Biden 2nd Term
Hodad replied to Deluge's topic in Federal Politics in the United States
Illegal immigration is not any sort of economic metric. Neither are gas and food, aside from the fact they show up to some degree in actual metrics, inflation being the obvious example. Gas prices are the product of a global oil market, and adjusted for inflation they are not historically high. In fact, they are the about the same/less than they were in 2017 and 2018 under Trump. Food (and gas, for that matter) are compound answers starting with a war in Europe's breadbasket and a global supply chain that's still all jacked up from the pandemic. But because it's a strong economy job growth is high, unemployment is low and companies are competing for scarce talent. As a result, wages are growing faster than inflation. Gas and food cost more, but Americans have more to spend. And we're closing in on negating the "damage" from peak inflation. You're 0 for 3 on identifying metrics--well, maybe partial credit for identifying items within inflation. But their effects are being exaggerated for political drama. Any way you want to slice it, the economy is miles better than what Biden inherited. Oh, and BTW, foreign military aid is mostly arms and equipment. It has the same sort of stimulating impact on the economy that war does, though clearly in a smaller scale. -
Lol 1. Do you have a relevant point to make? We need LDCs to skip steps of industrialization, so the Western world subsidizes better tech. International carbon markets are part of the Kyoto protocol. Polluter countries pay LDCs not to pollute. Which in turn helps then skip less efficient stages of growth. They can be owners or stakeholders in their own infrastructures. 2. The economy is thriving. Jeebus, look at any data. You look like a fool, standing outside on a balmy day, complaining about the cold. -- And WTF? in your warped little mind does the SPR level have to do with record high domestic oil production? Two different things entirely, like your salary and your bank balance. Once again, try data. What aspect of the economy do you want to jump start? Jobs? Wages? The stock market? Manufacturing? GDP growth? What exactly are you whining about? Trump left office with the economy in shambles, and all of those metrics have improved dramatically while Biden has been in office. Most of them are as good or better than pre-covid Trump. And again, starting from a point of extreme hardship. Trump started high and ended low. Biden started low and is climbing steadily. There really isn't much to complain about. And more to the point, Biden has actually made some real fundamental investments in the future of the economy, in the base and middle of the economy, rather than just coasting and feeding the rich.
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Yes, Coal is undeniably gross and harmful in many direct ways, short and long term. Coal may be "cheap" but the cost is high. The externalities are off the charts. It's a case of penny wise and pound foolish. The whole principle--many decades old now--behind funding new technologies in developing countries is that they won't have to go through every stupid, wasteful phase of growth. They don't need to start with the pony express, move to telegraphy, then phone lines then internet and mobile phones. We've already done that work. Africa will skip directly to cell towers and internet over the top. The exact same thing is true with power generation. They can skip the wasteful ugly stuff and build directly into a renewable-heavy energy infrastructure. -- And we help pay for it so that they don't fill OUR air atmosphere with CO2 and particulates the way China does. Win-win. And, as you've been correctly told dozens of times, the economy is robust by any measure and more oil is being pumped out of the ground than at any point in history. We're net oil exporters. There is no domestic shortage.
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It's not. Climate deniers (Nationalist, as a prime example) pretend that someone wants to flip a switch and turn off all fossil fuel usage and then we'll all try to chaotically figure out how to replace it. That's a very dumb idea. Which is why nobody has ever proposed it. It's why every country has phased carbon targets. It's why they phase out the worst offenders (coal) first. It's why the transition takes time. Germany didn't make a choice between coal and freezing. They made a choice to get off coal as quickly as they could replace it with less harmful alternatives. Freezing was never on the table as an option. And getting off coal--and eventually all fossil fuels--means alternative energy, not "no energy."
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That is SHAMEFULLY dishonest. It's nothing to do with CNN. There are millions of scientists active in the world. They near-universally acknowledge the fact of anthropogenic warming. You've found a one retired academic who sort-of disagrees with policy recommendations and latched onto her opinion as if it justifies your skepticism. You're "logic" is like the fool who visits doctor after doctor after doctor who all tell him cut back on bacon and salt or he's headed for a heart attack. But you just struggle through the dizzy spells and meat-sweats until you finally find some quack who tells you're healthy enough. "Huzzah, you say. I told you all those other doctors were wrong! This is the only smart doctor who got it right!"ðĪŠ
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You are such an echo chamber boob. lol A. Coal is gross. Even if these nations didn't accept the AGW science, nobody wants the air quality disaster that comes with coal. B. For whatever reason you are "celebrating" coal powered plants, it's a combination of phony and misleading--probably because you just heard some other jackass make a list. For example, Germany un-shuttered some coal plants as winter backup against natural gas shortage, but is still phasing out. Austria has been coal-free since 2020 with coal plants for emergency backup. Italy is almost coal free and should complete by 2025. The Netherlands committed to be coal free by 2030. -- But regardless of target dates and milestones, EVERY SINGLE ONE of those countries is being coal-free in the next 5-10 years. They didn't say "Nah, climate change is a hoax, let's go back to coal." So whatever point you were trying to make, you're 180 degrees off. "Drill, baby, drill" was always a stupid slogan, but doubly so now when production is at record levels. You can't "turn the taps back on" when they are already the most open they have ever been. The moral, as usual, is that you have a lot of extreme opinions, but no knowledge or information. It's bizarre. Maybe gather some of the latter and use them to shape the former. Just saying.
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There is no hoax. And if you mean to say that you think you're merry band of know-nothings is "winning" the climate change debate I'm doing to have to reset the bar for "dumbest claim ever." Climate deniers have done nothing but lose ground. Published science is nearly unanimous. The world has never been more certain and galvanized. You flat-Earthers are, at least worth a good, hearty laugh. And now you want to declare victory too!ðĪĢ
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Far Left's KGB tactics of demoralization
Hodad replied to West's topic in Federal Politics in the United States
What you say is false. The judge sided with the defense objections most of the time during Daniels' testimony and he even curtailed her story multiple times with his own objections. Perhaps the defense should have offered more objections if they thought her testimony was irrelevant and unduly presidential. That's their job, and Merchan clearly was sympathetic. Instead they just let it happen and whined about it afterward. Sort of like Daniels. -
What worries me about a Biden 2nd Term
Hodad replied to Deluge's topic in Federal Politics in the United States
Name 3 economic metrics that you think are important. -
I don't care--at all--about some alleged "Satan dildo cake." It's not relevant. It has nothing to do with the Masterpiece case. It was not the reason he refused to sell a gay couple the same cake he would sell a straight couple. At BEST word got out that the man was discriminating against gay people and someone decided to troll him for it. A bigot got verbally trolled? Cry me a river. If a basic farking 3-tiered cake (or whatever) is "art" then a sandwich artist has the same claim to making art. Painting houses is my "art"! Pumping gas is my "art"! Every time I drop crinkle-cut potatoes into a deep fryer it's a motherfarking transcendent expression of the glory of god! That's all bullshit. Art CAN be expressed or executed in many mediums. A cake--or any commodity product--has to be an extraordinary and unique creation to become "art." And beyond being bullshit, it's an attempt to cynically use "god" as a legal facade to exclude ANYONE from anything about which a person claims to have religious feelings. I'm sure Jesus would be thrilled that people are being abused, marginalized or excluded in his name.
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The fundamental problem here isn't that you're wrong, it's the way you go about being wrong, and looking for information that confirms your biases--without regard to quality or relevance or even reasonableness. You are shouting from the rooftops (for whatever reason) that climate change is an evil hoax. You do some googling to "prove" that and come back with... any old thing. In this case, your smoking gun is a handful of meteorologists criticizing of the language of a report FROM 30 YEARS AGO. 30 years. Let that sink in. You can't find anything current because the scientific community is nearly unanimous that, yes, the planet is warming and yes, humans are major drivers of that change. Every field, every country, every industry (including the petroleum industry!), every major scientific body. Because for more than 30 years the evidence has piled up, paper after paper, report after report, all pointing to the exact same conclusion, to the point that even those who have a vested interest in maintaining the status quo have had to acknowledge that climate change is fact. Scientists across the spectrum long ago shifted from "if" to "when, how fast, how much and what will it mean for their scope of their study?" And, BTW, meteorologists (short term) are NOT climatologists (long term). And they typically don't require as much education. But if you find their thoughts on the topic compelling, perhaps you should ask where the field stands today. American Meteorological Society (They have a LOT to say about it, including educational resources.) "Humans are causing climate to change and it poses numerous serious risks. The more carbon we emit, the higher the carbon dioxide concentrations in the atmosphere will be and the larger the changes in climate we'll face." Do you know why meteorologists--especially broadcast meteorologists--are so convinced that climate change is real, caused by humans, and a serious problem? It's because they stand up day after day, year after year in front of an audience and have to tell them over and over and over again about aberrant weather, record temperatures set with record frequency, and natural disasters at unnatural frequencies and with unnatural ferocity. Because they are public and accountable day after day to deliver the one directional trend that the climate is changing and our world is warming.
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Lol. "The judge belongs in jail!" Um, no. There is nothing wrong or unusual about that gag order. Demanding that a powerful, public figure (with a legion of cultish followers, no less) not make public statements that could intimidate or endanger witnesses, jurors or court staff couldn't be more reasonable--or necessary--to sustain the process of justice. And if you'll notice, in the contempt review the judge does not penalize Trump for responding back to an engaged party. If Michael Cohen says something related to Trump in public, Trump has been allowed to snipe back without consequence. It's a two-way street. Well, as much as it can be when dealing with such a public figure. Clamoring for judges to be imprisoned (for no legal reason, BTW) is really driving home the "law and order" theme.
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What worries me about a Biden 2nd Term
Hodad replied to Deluge's topic in Federal Politics in the United States
Not that I recall. If you want me to opine in what Biden said, show me the quote. Most of you are not even marginally economically literate and there's like an 80% chance you just didn't understand the information presented and hopped on the faux outrage bandwagon. And 20% allowance for decrepit Uncle Joe to have said something crazy.ðĪ·ââïļ
