Latest Polling Oct 12 2023: Trudeau vs. Poilievre: Who do Canadians trust more to handle things plus Conservatives lead by 13

[CdnFox]

The latest Abacus poll is out :

https://abacusdata.ca/trudeau-vs-poilievre-who-do-canadians-trust-more-to-handle-things-plus-conservatives-lead-by-13/

Polling is between sep 25 and oct 5

If an election were held today, 39% of committed voters would vote Conservatives with the Liberals at 26%, the NDP at 18% and the Greens at 4%. The BQ is at 33% in Quebec.

Regionally, the Conservatives remain well ahead in BC, Alberta, Saskatchewan, and Manitoba. The Conservatives lead by 11 in Ontario and Atlantic Canada. In Quebec, the BQ is ahead by 6 over the Liberals.

 

Only 27% of Canadians approve of the job performance of the federal government, down 2 since our last survey, and the lowest we have ever measured. 55% disapprove.

Justin Trudeau’s personal image remains overly negative with 27% have a positive opinion of him compared with 55% with a negative view. Both are largely unchanged from last wave.

Pierre Poilievre has about equal numbers of people have a positive and negative view – 36% positive and 35% negative.

 

Trudeau vs. Poilievre

In this survey, we asked a new set of questions to gauge how Trudeau and Poilievre compare head to head on several policy areas. Trudeau has an advantage over Poilievre on two items – dealing with climate change and making childcare more affordable. In both cases, more people think Trudeau is better able to handle those issues than Poilievre.

But on every other item we tested, Poilievre easily beats the Prime Minister. Most striking, when it comes to dealing with the prospect of Donald Trump as US President, 37% think Poilievre is better able to handle that compared with 28% who think Trudeau is.

On other issues, like managing the economy (Poilievre +15), building more housing (Poilievre +18), and making life more affordable (Poilievre +17), Mr. Poilievre has a clear advantage over the Prime Minister.

 

[CdnFox]

So not a lot of change. I think that outside of an election it's hard to imagine pp getting much better or justin doing much worse.  I think if an election were called the CPC would jump about 4 points over the campaign and the lbs and dips would each sink a bit .

The concern here for the libs is that PP is in majority territory and staying there - and very quickly people are going to become used to the idea of the CPC winning a majority next election and that won't scare them any more.

The whole trump thing has got to be a blow for them as well.