Newfoundlander Posted May 19, 2012 Report Posted May 19, 2012 Seeing there was a thread for Toronto Danforth I figured the likely by-election in Etobicoke Centre deserved a thread too, especially considering how rare the cause of it is. According to tweets by Forum Research the Liberals have a 10 point lead in the riding, though they've not given the actual numbers. Last year the NDP were a distant third but like almost everywhere their percentage of the vote increased a fair bit. Will Mulcair and the NDP target this riding and put in a lot of resources to try and win the riding, or will they let the Liberals and Conservatives duke it out? Seeing it's unlikely the NDP could actually win what's a better scenario for them, a Liberal win or a Conservative win? The reason I'm brining the NDP up is because I think their campaign could be the deciding factor for who wins. Quote
punked Posted May 19, 2012 Report Posted May 19, 2012 Seeing there was a thread for Toronto Danforth I figured the likely by-election in Etobicoke Centre deserved a thread too, especially considering how rare the cause of it is. According to tweets by Forum Research the Liberals have a 10 point lead in the riding, though they've not given the actual numbers. Last year the NDP were a distant third but like almost everywhere their percentage of the vote increased a fair bit. Will Mulcair and the NDP target this riding and put in a lot of resources to try and win the riding, or will they let the Liberals and Conservatives duke it out? Seeing it's unlikely the NDP could actually win what's a better scenario for them, a Liberal win or a Conservative win? The reason I'm brining the NDP up is because I think their campaign could be the deciding factor for who wins. The election isn't going to happen. The last Liberal majority appointment to the Supreme court just retired, now we will have a Harper Majority court, these election results will be upheld. Quote
Newfoundlander Posted May 19, 2012 Author Report Posted May 19, 2012 The election isn't going to happen. The last Liberal majority appointment to the Supreme court just retired, now we will have a Harper Majority court, these election results will be upheld. Quote
punked Posted May 19, 2012 Report Posted May 19, 2012 (edited) Just think about it this is going to be fast tracked to the court. Edited May 19, 2012 by punked Quote
Newfoundlander Posted May 19, 2012 Author Report Posted May 19, 2012 Just think about it this is going to be fast tracked to the court. Well we don't even know if the Conservatives will appeal the ruling, I can't see why they wouldn't but the fact that it is the fault of Elections Canada and not their campaign's is one reason to believe they may not, plus I don't think a judge is that stupid to put their respect on the line because they don't want the Conservatives to face a by-election. Quote
punked Posted May 19, 2012 Report Posted May 19, 2012 Well we don't even know if the Conservatives will appeal the ruling, I can't see why they wouldn't but the fact that it is the fault of Elections Canada and not their campaign's is one reason to believe they may not, plus I don't think a judge is that stupid to put their respect on the line because they don't want the Conservatives to face a by-election. We will have to wait and see but like I said think about it. Quote
Newfoundlander Posted May 19, 2012 Author Report Posted May 19, 2012 We will have to wait and see but like I said think about it. I don't see any reason why if this judge did his job why another judge would dismiss it completely just because they were appointed by Harper. If the Conservatives appeal it's because they know the can stretch this out for probably a couple of years, which would cost the Liberals a lot of money. Quote
Rick Posted May 19, 2012 Report Posted May 19, 2012 (edited) I don't see any reason why if this judge did his job why another judge would dismiss it completely just because they were appointed by Harper. If the Conservatives appeal it's because they know the can stretch this out for probably a couple of years, which would cost the Liberals a lot of money. When the Harper government appeals this it will be because they know that A) if there was a by-election they won't be able to rig it again and they will lose that seat and B ) their appointed lackeys in the SC will side with them and quash any dissenting lower court judge's opinion.While costing the taxpayers and Liberals money... Edited May 19, 2012 by Rick Quote “This is all about who you represent,” Mr. Dewar (NDP) said. “We’re (NDP) talking about representing the interests of working people and everyday Canadians and they [the Conservatives] are about representing the fund managers who come in and fleece our companies and our country. Voted Maple Leaf Web's 'Most Outstanding Poster' 2011
madmax Posted May 19, 2012 Report Posted May 19, 2012 (edited) My Prediction Conservatives will retain the seat in a By Election Liberals will come up short NDP will unlikely be competitive based on previous results, this is a CPC/LPC swing riding.. Voter Turnout will be 16,000 CON,13000, Lib, 4000 NDP... Finally I could be 100% wrong... Edited May 19, 2012 by madmax Quote
punked Posted May 19, 2012 Report Posted May 19, 2012 I don't see any reason why if this judge did his job why another judge would dismiss it completely just because they were appointed by Harper. If the Conservatives appeal it's because they know the can stretch this out for probably a couple of years, which would cost the Liberals a lot of money. Because of Politics that is why. Quote
Rick Posted May 19, 2012 Report Posted May 19, 2012 If there is a by-election, as much as I'd like the NDP to win the seat, the Liberals will take the riding handily as folks have seen enough of the real Harper since the election. Quote “This is all about who you represent,” Mr. Dewar (NDP) said. “We’re (NDP) talking about representing the interests of working people and everyday Canadians and they [the Conservatives] are about representing the fund managers who come in and fleece our companies and our country. Voted Maple Leaf Web's 'Most Outstanding Poster' 2011
Newfoundlander Posted May 19, 2012 Author Report Posted May 19, 2012 My Prediction Conservatives will retain the seat in a By Election Liberals will come up short NDP will unlikely be competitive based on previous results, this is a CPC/LPC swing riding.. Voter Turnout will be 16,000 CON,13000, Lib, 4000 NDP... Finally I could be 100% wrong... Well Forum Research has a 10 point lead for Liberals, which could be totally wrong, but unless something major happens I doubt the Liberals would finish 9,000 votes behind the Conservatives, especially with all the recent screwups for the government. Quote
punked Posted May 20, 2012 Report Posted May 20, 2012 Well Forum Research has a 10 point lead for Liberals, which could be totally wrong, but unless something major happens I doubt the Liberals would finish 9,000 votes behind the Conservatives, especially with all the recent screwups for the government. In Toronto I expect nothing less. Quote
madmax Posted May 20, 2012 Report Posted May 20, 2012 Well Forum Research has a 10 point lead for Liberals, which could be totally wrong, but unless something major happens I doubt the Liberals would finish 9,000 votes behind the Conservatives, especially with all the recent screwups for the government. Erm... read that again, I have them finish 3000 back...with my stab in the dark Quote
Newfoundlander Posted May 20, 2012 Author Report Posted May 20, 2012 Erm... read that again, I have them finish 3000 back...with my stab in the dark The way you have it wrote is confusing. Quote
Smallc Posted May 21, 2012 Report Posted May 21, 2012 I really, again, don't understand why a federal by-election three is in the provincial politics sections. Provincial politics is the one thing that it isn't at all related to. Quote
Newfoundlander Posted May 21, 2012 Author Report Posted May 21, 2012 I really, again, don't understand why a federal by-election three is in the provincial politics sections. Provincial politics is the one thing that it isn't at all related to. I only put it here because that's where Toronto Danforth's was, but I agree. Quote
Smallc Posted May 21, 2012 Report Posted May 21, 2012 I only put it here because that's where Toronto Danforth's was, but I agree. Oh, I know...just a comment. Quote
Administrator Posted May 21, 2012 Report Posted May 21, 2012 About IconHeaven Motorola Cliq MB200- Lavish Conjunction of Luring Purpose The Motorola MB200 CLIQ from T-Mobile makes manipulate of the Android operating system from Google. The Motorola Cliq is a boss combination of attractive originate, easy to advantage functions and power packed features. The Motorola Cliq has an pulling slider conceive of 3.1 inches spacious parade with a serious resolution supporting 262,000 colors (480x320 pixels). The pure adroit in concealment of Motorola Cliq is automatically populated with happenings from the consonant MotoBlur function. The phone also comes with a proximity sensor, Haptics feedback, an accelerometer and the exhibit changes as you rotate the phone. The Cliq measures at 4.49 inches in height, 2.28 inches in range and 0.61 inches in thickness, which makes it a handy phone with an imposing presence. The Cliq offers a full QWERTY keyboard which is quite roomy and the letters on the keys are large, raised and brightly lit. Texting on the phone is dialect right foolproof and hassle free. The Cliq's in size is based on the elbow reminiscence of the internal memory (with an increment of 250 contacts in the SIM pasteboard). Each contact entry can also inhibit eight phone numbers and you can in holy matrimony contacts to groups or assign them a dedicated photo or ring tone. The Motorola Cliq operates on a 528 MHz processor and comes with internal memory of 512MB ROM and 256MB RAM. The phone can support a micro SD card up to 32GB. Battery memoirs is rated at 6 hours in talk hour standard operating procedure and standby prematurely is 13.5 hours. The Cliq comes with the expected root features such as a resonate form, text, multimedia messaging, an nervousness clock, a calculator, USB mob storage, Google Talk, Google voice search, instant messaging, stereo Bluetooth, visual instrument post, speaker-independent voice dialing, GPS, Wi-Fi and PC syncing. Users can also access the online Android sell to download gratis or paid apps, music, video and contest files. It comes with a HTML browser in compensation casual connectivity and internet experience. The steersmanship functions fabricate switching washing one's hands of pages untroubled and delightful. The phone also supports a far-reaching array of email options and you can include POP3 services such as Hotmail, Yahoo, Windows Live, and sync with your corporate accounts using Outlook Web Access (OWA). The Motorola Cliq offers users a chic and in perfect accord browsing and email savoir faire with its up to date MotoBlur application. MotoBlur merges your individual email accounts, sexual network accounts and your contacts into a specific intellect blowing experience. With the MotoBlur you are every connected. You can beyond read messages, get off on your barricade and those of your contacts, dividend and upload pictures and picture the stature of all your contacts in the MotoBlur Happenings widget located on the retreat screen. The phone supports Facebook, Agitation and MySpace. The Motorola Cliq comes with a resilient 5-megapixel camera that takes pictures in any of three resolutions. There are seven color effects to chose from, an auto spotlight privilege, digital zoom, three distinction options, five pale balancing options and several editing options. The Cliq also comes with a working music player that supports a many of music and video folder formats. You can coagulate songs as ringtones soon from the music player. So the Motorola MB200 Cliq is individual of the largest develop into grand exhibition Android phones. Quote
Newfoundlander Posted May 22, 2012 Author Report Posted May 22, 2012 Forum Research has the Liberals at 47% compared to 37% for the Conservatives and 14% for the NDP. http://news.nationalpost.com/2012/05/22/liberal-challenger-ahead-in-toronto-riding-where-judge-ordered-byelection-poll/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter Quote
madmax Posted May 22, 2012 Report Posted May 22, 2012 (edited) Forum Research has the Liberals at 47% compared to 37% for the Conservatives and 14% for the NDP. http://news.nationalpost.com/2012/05/22/liberal-challenger-ahead-in-toronto-riding-where-judge-ordered-byelection-poll/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter Well have to sit back and let Ford Nation rescue the Conservative numbers. Etobicoke is his stomping grounds. Edited May 22, 2012 by madmax Quote
punked Posted May 22, 2012 Report Posted May 22, 2012 Forum Research has the Liberals at 47% compared to 37% for the Conservatives and 14% for the NDP. http://news.nationalpost.com/2012/05/22/liberal-challenger-ahead-in-toronto-riding-where-judge-ordered-byelection-poll/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter Doesn't matter this election wont happen. Quote
Newfoundlander Posted May 22, 2012 Author Report Posted May 22, 2012 Doesn't matter this election wont happen. Luckily for Mulcair. Quote
punked Posted May 23, 2012 Report Posted May 23, 2012 Luckily for Mulcair. I fail to see why? He is polling out of this world right now. Quote
Newfoundlander Posted May 23, 2012 Author Report Posted May 23, 2012 I fail to see why? He is polling out of this world right now. The party is polling at 14% in the riding, if that ended up being the result on election day it wouldn't be great for the NDP in the GTA. Quote
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