M.Dancer Posted October 15, 2008 Author Report Posted October 15, 2008 Revised count:Conservatives....154 Liberals..............76 Bloc Quebecois....40 NDP................... 38 Green...................0 Total.................308 Con Off By 11 Liberals- 0 Bloc- 10 NDP - 1 Green- 0 IND- 2 VGood- 24 Quote RIGHT of SOME, LEFT of OTHERS If it is a choice between them and us, I choose us
M.Dancer Posted October 15, 2008 Author Report Posted October 15, 2008 Prediction for 2008 election:CPC 125 Liberal 94 NDP 36 BQ 51 Green 0 Other 2 Cons Off By 18 Libs- 18 NDP- 1 BQ- 1 Green- 0 INd- 0 Total 38 Quote RIGHT of SOME, LEFT of OTHERS If it is a choice between them and us, I choose us
M.Dancer Posted October 15, 2008 Author Report Posted October 15, 2008 Another Conservative minority on the way.CPC - 142 Libs - 82 NDP - 36 Bloc - 48 ______________ 308 COns- off by 1 Libs- 6 NDP- 1 Bloc- 2 IND- 2 TOTAL 12 Quote RIGHT of SOME, LEFT of OTHERS If it is a choice between them and us, I choose us
M.Dancer Posted October 15, 2008 Author Report Posted October 15, 2008 Conservatives....132Liberals..............130 Bloc Quebecois....28 NDP................... 18 Green...................0 Total.................308 Surprise time Mr. Harper, he wins but he does not. A coalition is form! Cons- Off by 11 Lib- 54 BQ- 22 NDP- 19 IND- 2 108 Quote RIGHT of SOME, LEFT of OTHERS If it is a choice between them and us, I choose us
M.Dancer Posted October 15, 2008 Author Report Posted October 15, 2008 Conservative 130Liberal 100 Bloc 46 NDP 32 Green 0 Total: 308 seats Cons off by 13 Lib.- 24 NDP. 5 BQ. 4 IND 2 Total 48 Quote RIGHT of SOME, LEFT of OTHERS If it is a choice between them and us, I choose us
M.Dancer Posted October 15, 2008 Author Report Posted October 15, 2008 CPC 136LPC 100 BQ 41 NDP 30 IND 1 Cons off by 7 Lib- 24 BQ 9 NDP- 7 IND - 1 Total 48 Quote RIGHT of SOME, LEFT of OTHERS If it is a choice between them and us, I choose us
Jerry J. Fortin Posted October 15, 2008 Report Posted October 15, 2008 I was way off! The BQ did far better than I thought they would. The Liberals were judged hard and found wanting. The NDP surprised me. The big story to me was the continued rise of the Harper star. Still not enough for a majority, yet subtle inroads were indeed made. On the other hand, Alberta actually was not swept up, and Harpers demise was elected in Quebec. Dion is done like dinner, that is the one real difference after the election. He will face a leadership review, one that he will not likely survive. I expect Rae, Ignative, Garneau, Kennedy and yes even Justin Trudeau to be testing the waters within the coming weeks. The big question is what kind of a budget will Harper put before members in the Commons. Will the opposition pass a budget they don't really want to avoid the next election? Quote
kengs333 Posted October 15, 2008 Report Posted October 15, 2008 (edited) Cons off by 39Liberal-. 28 Bloc- 4 NDP- 2 Green- 3 Ind. - 1 Total 77 I think that these should be divided by two because each "off" seat is "on" somewhere else. Let's say prediction: Con 308 Lib. 0 election results: Con 0 - off by 308 Lib 308 - off by 308 TOTAL = 616 Edited October 15, 2008 by kengs333 Quote
M.Dancer Posted October 15, 2008 Author Report Posted October 15, 2008 I think that these should be divided by two because each "off" seat is "on" somewhere else. Let's say prediction: Con 308 Lib. 0 election results: Con 0 - off by 308 Lib 308 - off by 308 TOTAL = 716 math is hard for you? Quote RIGHT of SOME, LEFT of OTHERS If it is a choice between them and us, I choose us
kengs333 Posted October 15, 2008 Report Posted October 15, 2008 (edited) math is hard for you? It is for you, apparently. The HoC has 308 seat, not 616. Edited October 15, 2008 by kengs333 Quote
M.Dancer Posted October 15, 2008 Author Report Posted October 15, 2008 It is for you, apparently. The HoC has 308 seat, not 616. Which would have been great if the contest was guessing the number of seats in the house instead of guessing who would win them and in what proportion. If your guesses were 100% correct your score would be 0. If you guessed 100% incorrect your score is 616.... Had I known you were that challenged I would have weighted your guesses appropriately and made you a nice colourful certificate for really trying.... Quote RIGHT of SOME, LEFT of OTHERS If it is a choice between them and us, I choose us
cybercoma Posted October 15, 2008 Report Posted October 15, 2008 Which would have been great if the contest was guessing the number of seats in the house instead of guessing who would win them and in what proportion. If your guesses were 100% correct your score would be 0. If you guessed 100% incorrect your score is 616....Had I known you were that challenged I would have weighted your guesses appropriately and made you a nice colourful certificate for really trying.... How could you have not known? Did you stop reading kengs' posts? Quote
kengs333 Posted October 15, 2008 Report Posted October 15, 2008 Which would have been great if the contest was guessing the number of seats in the house instead of guessing who would win them and in what proportion. If your guesses were 100% correct your score would be 0. If you guessed 100% incorrect your score is 616....Had I known you were that challenged I would have weighted your guesses appropriately and made you a nice colourful certificate for really trying.... *yawn* I guess you're just being a prick because your friends didn't show up yesterday... If there are 308 seats in the HoC, then there is not logical reason for the scoring to reflect double that number. Quote
cybercoma Posted October 15, 2008 Report Posted October 15, 2008 *yawn* I guess you're just being a prick because your friends didn't show up yesterday...If there are 308 seats in the HoC, then there is not logical reason for the scoring to reflect double that number. What's the logical reason for the scoring to be 308? The closest person to zero wins, so who cares if the numbers go up to 616? Quote
cybercoma Posted October 15, 2008 Report Posted October 15, 2008 CPC: 134LPC: 99 NDP: 31 BQ: 42 GPC: 1 Ind: 1 Just a stab at her. Voter turnout (63%) CON: 9 LPC: 23 BQ: 8 GPC: 1 IND: 2 Total: 43 I'm surprised by how terribly the Liberals did and how well the BQ made out. I guess I was hoping more than anything that Quebec was finally realizing that the BQ has nothing to offer them. Quote
normanchateau Posted October 15, 2008 Report Posted October 15, 2008 I don't care how Dancer does the numbers. He did a good job of keeping track of everyone and declaring the unequivocal winner. Now let's move on to more important questions. Will Dion resign before he's dumped by his party? Will Harper resign or are the Conservatives doomed to go into yet another election with a social conservative who's not a fiscal conservative? Can Harper supporters recognize a social conservative when they see one? Will Harper shovel another four billion dollars from the rest of Canada to Quebec to win votes? Will Harper once again convince his supporters that shovelling billions of dollars into Quebec is ultimately fiscal conservatism if it secures a majority? Will Harper bring down his government once again in the hopes of winning a majority before the Liberals select a new leader? Will the continued deterioration of the economy hurt or hinder Harper? Quote
Motoro Posted October 15, 2008 Report Posted October 15, 2008 Cons Off by 14Lib - 14 NDP - 0 Bloc- 0 IND- 0 Green- 0 Pretty good..Total 28 Thanks Alas, I underestimated Conservative support in Ontario and the maritimes. Nailed the smaller parties though, especially the BQ and Green popular vote. Quote
guyser Posted October 15, 2008 Report Posted October 15, 2008 ....made you a nice colourful certificate for really trying.... Can I have one anyway? I tried too but failed. My fridge is bare and I dont have kids. Congrats VK. Quote
kengs333 Posted October 15, 2008 Report Posted October 15, 2008 I don't care how Dancer does the numbers. He did a good job of keeping track of everyone and declaring the unequivocal winner. Now let's move on to more important questions. *yawn* why don't you nominate him for an Order of Canada, then? Quote
kengs333 Posted October 15, 2008 Report Posted October 15, 2008 What's the logical reason for the scoring to be 308? The closest person to zero wins, so who cares if the numbers go up to 616? Because it's logical? Quote
kengs333 Posted October 15, 2008 Report Posted October 15, 2008 CON: 9LPC: 23 BQ: 8 GPC: 1 IND: 2 Total: 43 I'm surprised by how terribly the Liberals did and how well the BQ made out. I guess I was hoping more than anything that Quebec was finally realizing that the BQ has nothing to offer them. Everybody who was paying attention should have known that there were two definite Independents; I threw in the third on a lark thinking that McHale may actually manage to pull it off thinking that arrogant Finley was finally done; turns out, some guy in Edmonton almost won, so it still was almost three... Quote
cybercoma Posted October 15, 2008 Report Posted October 15, 2008 Because it's logical? It's logical because it's logical. You do know that's illogical, right? Quote
cybercoma Posted October 15, 2008 Report Posted October 15, 2008 TOTALLiberal - 105 Conservative - 104 Bloc - 54 NDP - 39 Green - 3 Ind. - 3 I may have not been paying attention to the independents but my total was 43. Liberal - 29 Conservatve - 39 Bloc - 4 NDP - 2 Green - 3 Ind. - 1 Total: 78 Your total of 78 shows that you weren't paying attention to a damn thing. Quote
kengs333 Posted October 15, 2008 Report Posted October 15, 2008 I may have not been paying attention to the independents but my total was 43.Liberal - 29 Conservatve - 39 Bloc - 4 NDP - 2 Green - 3 Ind. - 1 Total: 78 Your total of 78 shows that you weren't paying attention to a damn thing. I was paying attention to what's important. The Liberals and the Cons are basically the same party, different colour. Quote
kengs333 Posted October 15, 2008 Report Posted October 15, 2008 It's logical because it's logical. You do know that's illogical, right? No, it's logical. Quote
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