Canadian Political Polls

[LastViking]

Latest poll from Decima:

Looks like we'd have a repeat of the last election once again.

Actually, the TrendLines conversion of today's Angus Reid & Decima Harris polls are pointing to a tight Liberal Minority: 115 - 114

Edited March 4, 2008 by LastViking

[jdobbin]

Latest poll from Ipsos on Cadman affairs.

http://www.nationalpost.com/news/canada/story.html?id=361312

More than four in 10 Canadians believe allegations Conservative party officials offered dying MP Chuck Cadman a $1-million life insurance policy to gain his support in a crucial vote, and nearly one in three don't believe Prime Minister Stephen Harper is telling the truth when he says he did not know of it, an Ipsos Reid poll says.

The poll, conducted exclusively for Canwest News Service and Global National, also says only three in 10 Canadians think Mr. Harper would be right to sue Stephane Dion for publishing the allegations on the party's Web site.

Guess the lawsuit isn't the best way for Harper to go about things. Perhaps people think it makes him more guilty or a bully or whatever. The poll doesn't ask why he shouldn't sue.

In a poll from Decima, the public seems to support Harper's suggestion he will use oil to fight an opening of NAFTA.

http://canadianpress.google.com/article/AL...bC1IEGc2defkdmg

Canadians would support using energy supplies as a bargaining chip if the United States tries to reopen the North American Free Trade Agreement, a new poll suggests.

Respondents to The Canadian Press Harris-Decima poll generally like NAFTA and were willing to play hardball against the Americans in any renegotiation.

Almost half of them felt that NAFTA has been good, or very good for the economy, while only 27 per cent thought it's a bad deal.

The survey suggests that 61 per cent of people would support using oil as a lever if Washington demands a renegotiation of the treaty.

Also, a poll from Decima on people investing.

http://network.nationalpost.com/np/blogs/w.../07/160085.aspx

Canadians responded to the volatile stock market by making fewer RRSP contributions this year, according to the second annual exit poll from Investors Group Inc. Just 37% of those eligible to make RRSP contributions made them for the 2007 tax year, down 5% from a year earlier. It also found 26% opted to “park” their contributions in cash or bonds, hoping for markets to stabilize before adding to equity positions.

I guess this shows just how far from being broad-based RRSPs are and probably the same could be true of TFSAa.

[jdobbin]

Here was a political poll from March 2, the same day Decima's poll came out. I missed it because it was only really published in Toronto.

http://www.thestar.com/News/Canada/article/309094

The federal budget and a brewing scandal over alleged offers made to the late Independent MP Chuck Cadman have neither boosted nor hurt the Conservatives in terms of public support.

A Toronto Star/Angus Reid poll released today gives the Conservatives 34 per cent of the decided vote if an election were held today, the Liberals 28 per cent, the NDP 18 per cent, the Bloc Québécois 10 per cent and the Green party 9 per cent.

Support for the Tories did not change from last month but the Liberal support dipped three percentage points

Everything still in minority territory for those that somehow think the Tories are galloping to a majority.

[MontyBurns]

http://www.thestar.com/News/Canada/article/309094

Everything still in minority territory for those that somehow think the Tories are galloping to a majority.

A minority is good enough to keep Liberal pansises out of power.

Edited March 8, 2008 by MontyBurns

[jdobbin]

A minority is good enough to keep Liberal pansises out of power.

And further evidence that Harper can't deliver a majority and will have to be replaced himself.

[MontyBurns]

And further evidence that Harper can't deliver a majority and will have to be replaced himself.

I dont care so long as the girly-men (the Liberals/NDP) stay out of power.

[jdobbin]

I dont care so long as the girly-men (the Liberals/NDP) stay out of power.

How old you?

[MontyBurns]

How old you?

Old enough.

[capricorn]

And further evidence that Harper can't deliver a majority and will have to be replaced himself.

In the meantime, the Conservatives continue to govern thanks to the Liberals who keep propping them up. Harper may be scary to some but what is even scarier is a Liberal Party that supports the government while criticizing everything Harper does. What is really the Liberals' hidden agenda?

[jdobbin]

Old enough.

Sorry, based on your writing and the cartoon character, I thought you were fairly young.

[jdobbin]

In the meantime, the Conservatives continue to govern thanks to the Liberals who keep propping them up. Harper may be scary to some but what is even scarier is a Liberal Party that supports the government while criticizing everything Harper does. What is really the Liberals' hidden agenda?

I think the secret agenda is that Bob Rae and others want the by-elections to go ahead.

I think the Liberals leadership campaign never really ended.

I've said all along that I expect the Tories to win another minority. I've seen no evidence to suggest a majority although once again this week, I keep hearing Tory supporter talking about one.

[capricorn]

I think the secret agenda is that Bob Rae and others want the by-elections to go ahead.

Why? Doesn't he think he can win in a general election?

[jdobbin]

Why? Doesn't he think he can win in a general election?

Of course. But they believe that he will be a strong performer in the House and put the Tories on their heels in the weeks and months to come. It also solidifies his Liberal credentials and future leadership aspirations.

[capricorn]

Of course. But they believe that he will be a strong performer in the House and put the Tories on their heels in the weeks and months to come. It also solidifies his Liberal credentials and future leadership aspirations.

Come to think of it, I would enjoy seeing Stephane, Michael and Bob all trying to outdo each other for the benefit of the cameras in the House. Let the games begin!

[jdobbin]

Come to think of it, I would enjoy seeing Stephane, Michael and Bob all trying to outdo each other for the benefit of the cameras in the House. Let the games begin!

You're right. It would certainly emphasize that there is nothing behind Harper. More reasons to vote Liberal.

[capricorn]

You're right. It would certainly emphasize that there is nothing behind Harper. More reasons to vote Liberal.

Hmm...let's see now. Michael and Bob are biting at the bit to unseat Dion. They're aligning themselves to outdo Dion in the House in their quest for the Liberal leadership. On the other hand, Harper has the confidence of the Conservatives and no one is contesting his leadership, overtly or covertly.

How does this leadership issue translate into reasons to vote Liberal?

[jdobbin]

How does this leadership issue translate into reasons to vote Liberal?

Because the party is still better in people's minds to vote for than the Tories.

[capricorn]

Because the party is still better in people's minds to vote for than the Tories.

Do you not realize how vacuous that statement is? I thought not.

[jdobbin]

Do you not realize how vacuous that statement is? I thought not.

Do you realize how true the statement is that people think better of the Liberals and will vote for them no matter what Harper does? I thought not.

[capricorn]

Do you realize how true the statement is that people think better of the Liberals and will vote for them no matter what Harper does? I thought not.

Yawn....zzzzz......zzzzzz.......

[jdobbin]

Yawn....zzzzz......zzzzzz.......

I know. Frustrating, isn't it? That people just aren't buying what Harper is selling.

[capricorn]

I know. Frustrating, isn't it? That people just aren't buying what Harper is selling.

The question is who is really frustrated. No matter how many so called scandals are lobbed at Harper, Liberals remain stuck in the same approval rate. I do recognize however that you are attempting very hard to have the last word no matter how vacuous your statements are.

[jdobbin]

The question is who is really frustrated. No matter how many so called scandals are lobbed at Harper, Liberals remain stuck in the same approval rate. I do recognize however that you are attempting very hard to have the last word no matter how vacuous your statements are.

That's true. However, you seem to respond no matter what.

As for your remarks about the Liberals, I don't deny it. But then we haven't seen the Tories rise above what they got in the election either despite one negative ad campaign after another.

[normanchateau]

On the other hand, Harper has the confidence of the Conservatives and no one is contesting his leadership, overtly or covertly.

And this is precisely why the Conservatives won't win a majority in the next election. The only Conservative to win a majority in Canada since 1958 was Brian Mulroney. Mulroney won a majority of the popular vote in Quebec and more importantly, was a centrist without an overt, socially conservative agenda. If the Conservatives hope to win a majority, they need to at least start thinking about Harper's replacement.

[daniel]

What may seem so scandalous to the general population are normal course of events for Conservatives. That's why Harper and his gang can't understand what all the fuss is about.