Quebec Liberals lead in polls

[August1991]

Pour la première fois depuis avril 2004, un vent favorable souffle dans les voiles du gouvernement de Jean Charest, dont le parti domine maintenant dans les intentions de vote des Québécois.

Selon un sondage Léger Marketing/Le Journal de Montréal, si des élections générales avaient eu lieu durant le week-end de la Saint-Jean - entre le 22 et 25 juin -, le Parti libéral du Québec aurait récolté 37 pour cent des votes contre 33 pour cent pour le Parti québécois.

Canoe

One poll doesn't make a trend. But I think Boisclair's honeymoon is starting to wind down and the human flaws of the person sitting opposite the breakfast table are starting to become apparent.

More important though is that Charest can call this a Harper bounce. They have a nice gig operating here. Next, you'll here the old crap about "Blue in Ottawa, Red in Quebec".

Finally, the poll doesn't mean Charest and the Liberals are popular. They're not. OTOH, I'll bet the sovereignty numbers are down, which is far more serious for the PQ.

[lost&outofcontrol]

Pour la première fois depuis avril 2004, un vent favorable souffle dans les voiles du gouvernement de Jean Charest, dont le parti domine maintenant dans les intentions de vote des Québécois.

Selon un sondage Léger Marketing/Le Journal de Montréal, si des élections générales avaient eu lieu durant le week-end de la Saint-Jean - entre le 22 et 25 juin -, le Parti libéral du Québec aurait récolté 37 pour cent des votes contre 33 pour cent pour le Parti québécois.

Canoe

One poll doesn't make a trend. But I think Boisclair's honeymoon is starting to wind down and the human flaws of the person sitting opposite the breakfast table are starting to become apparent.

More important though is that Charest can call this a Harper bounce. They have a nice gig operating here. Next, you'll here the old crap about "Blue in Ottawa, Red in Quebec".

Finally, the poll doesn't mean Charest and the Liberals are popular. They're not. OTOH, I'll bet the sovereignty numbers are down, which is far more serious for the PQ.

You should add the 6 %( which is disproportionably low IMO) from Quebec Solidaire and the 17% from the ADQ to the sovereignist side. (although I'm sure not all of them would vote for sovereignty)

[August1991]

You should add the 6 %( which is disproportionably low IMO) from Quebec Solidaire and the 17% from the ADQ to the sovereignist side. (although I'm sure not all of them would vote for sovereignty)

Not really (assuming we're talking about a possible referendum vote). The Quebec solidaire vote is a bit like the Ultra-Orthodox Jews who are against the current State of Israel. IOW, faced with an actual referendum question, God knows how Quebec solidaire supporters would vote. They're likely to declare that the question perpetuates the exploitive patriarchal regime and hence the whole process must be rejected.

As to ADQ supporters, they are people who want a New Deal. Many voted for Harper in the last federal election.

Quebec's utter obsession with the National Question has distorted normal political discussion. People are desperate for a way out. It is like a Civil War. At a certain point, people just get tired of fighting. That's what happened in Lebanon, I think.