Justin Trudeau's attacks on Pierre Poilievre not working, poll suggests

CdnFox · February 12, 2024

The Abacus Data survey, provided exclusively to the Toronto Star, suggests a 19 point lead for the Conservatives over the governing Liberals, with the support of 43 per cent of those polled compared to 24 per cent.

In the survey, Abacus sought to probe people’s perceptions of the Trudeau Liberals, putting five phrases to respondents to see which they thought best described the party — including whether the government is focused on the right priorities, listens to Canadians and is transparent and accountable. For each, more than 40 per cent said "not at all."

Just ahead of Abacus going into the field, Trudeau tried to link Poilievre to the right-wing rhetoric of U.S. TV host Tucker Carlson, and accused Poilievre of siding with apologists for Russian President Vladimir Putin.

After Alberta Premier Danielle Smith unveiled policies to restrict medical options for transgender youth, Liberals castigated Poilievre for not speaking up against them, accusing him of being indifferent to the lives of kids.

Trudeau's team also tried to undercut Poilievre's accusations that the government is responsible for high grocery prices, pointing out that the firm of his chief adviser Jenni Byrne has lobbied for Loblaws. The firm has lobbied for the grocery giant in Ontario but not specifically about food prices.

Poilievre and the Conservatives have been punching back.

CdnFox · February 12, 2024

Looks like Trudeau's attempt to scare the public into giving him another chance is just making things worse.

After april the new ridings come into play, 7 new ones - and almost all are guaranteed to go CPC. So he has till then to call an election if he's going to and with these numbers unless something radically changes he won't.

He's also just about out of time to step down. It takes about 8 months to run a leadership race, and it takes a solid year for a new team to be chosen and even prepare the basics for an election, and 2 years is preferred. We're only 19 months from the start of the next election at most. Probably even less.

So a new leader is already not going to have enough time AND any new leader will have to also take the time to run the country and will wear the liberal reputation.

So it looks like no election this year - the ndp won't want one either with those numbers

But - i don't think justin will want to go all the way till next fall to try. I'm now betting on a spring election centred around a budget that gives things to all his usual voters and designed to poach form the NDP (Very possibly UBI) and i bet he's PRAYING trump will win and he'll still try to scare people with 'too much conservative' on the contenent and vote for him to 'balance' things.