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Angus Reid has the CPC up by 4 points on the Libs, Nanos has Conservatives up by .5%, Ekos has the Libs up by 4%.

CBC has the Conservatives getting the popular vote as well, but with the west being so lopsided in favour of CPC, they feel like the CPC will win a bunch of one-sided votes out west but lose the majority out east by smaller margins. 

If you have any other polls to cite, especially for Ontario or Toronto (in this federal election), can you paste them here, just so that we can reflect on these things and check their accuracy with the benefit of hindsight?

I quickly googled Ontario federal election polls but couldn't find any. IMO Ontario will decide the election. The Bloc will take too many seats from the Libs in Que for them to get a decisive edge there, the maritimes will vote Liberal as always, and the west will vote Conservative. If anyone wins Ontario decisively, they win the election imo.

Bad news from the NPost, saying that Ford's declining popularity will negatively impact the federal Tories, but can Ford's unpopularity possibly have more of an effect on the election there than Trudeau's unpopularity? 

http://angusreid.org/vote-intention-tracker/

https://secureservercdn.net/198.71.233.47/823.910.myftpupload.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/2019-1445-CTV-Globe-ELXN-20191019.pdf

https://ipolitics.ca/the-ekos-poll/

https://nationalpost.com/news/politics/election-2019/exclusive-poll-reveals-doug-ford-factor-a-big-problem-for-scheers-conservatives-in-ontario

https://newsinteractives.cbc.ca/elections/poll-tracker/canada/ CBC has a whole list of polls at the bottom.

 

 

 

 

 

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