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Posted

What's clear is that you're pointing out my lack of understanding to cover your's. The Conservatives have, in all but two polls, been ahead. This amount has always been within the statistical margin. That said, the fact that they have almost always been ahead points to this being a reality rather than just pointing to a tie. The NDP, from the last 5 - 6 polls done, is tied at best if not still slightly behind.

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Posted

The Conservatives have, in all but two polls, been ahead. This amount has always been within the statistical margin.

These two statements contradict each other. That's the misunderstanding I keep pointing out and you keep repeating. If they're within the margin of error they are not ahead.
Posted

These two statements contradict each other. That's the misunderstanding I keep pointing out and you keep repeating. If they're within the margin of error they are not ahead.

If they're consistently in the lead (or nearly in this case) then they are ahead, even if it is technically within the margin.

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