Cons continue to plummet in polls with NDP be opposition to a liberal

[William Ashley]

So the cons continue to plummet in the polls, this article is one example of this.

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/blogs/bureau-blog/baby-boomers-drift-back-to-liberals/article1439038/

If the trend contues the NDP will be polling higher than the Cons by march? If an election occurs due to non confidence and coalition isn't formed, could we see the NDP form the opposition to a liberal majority for a first time for the NDP to be the official opposition in Canadian history?

Edited January 22, 2010 by William Ashley

[ToadBrother]

So the cons continue to plummet in the polls, this article is one example of this.

http://www.torontosun.com/news/columnists/peter_worthington/2010/01/21/12564286.html

If the trend contues the NDP will be polling higher than the Cons by march? If an election occurs due to non confidence and coalition isn't formed, could we see the NDP form the opposition to a liberal majority for a first time for the NDP to be the official opposition in Canadian history?

I think we're some distance from "falling in the polls" to "the NDP poll higher". The latest poll suggests that the Liberals may be picking up some support from those who had previously swung to the Tories. We'll see what happens over the next month and a half. I'll be interested to see what the polls say after the Olympics. If the Liberals can get a decent lead of 5 points or more on the Conservatives, a spring election might not be unthinkable.

But I'll wager that what will happen is more of the same; the polls won't give a positive enough assurance to anyone to risk an election. I doubt we'll see one before the fall, at the earliest.