LastViking

Actually, the TrendLines conversion of today's Angus Reid & Decima Harris polls are pointing to a tight Liberal Minority: 115 - 114

Today's Ipsos poll has been added to the february seat projections at Trendlines. Interesting blog comment accompanies: "While it is clear today that the Budget will get a pass, the Liberal Party & many Canadians are troubled by the Conservatives unwillingness in Debate to commit to withdraw from "search & destroy" combat missions in Afghanistan. The Liberal amendment is clear in its intent to provide a framework for a change in the mission that prohibits combat except when related to immediate security. The Conservatives seem intent on continuing maneuvers with the USA, Britain & Netherlands after February 2009. One of the Parties has to blink. This could precipitate the Election. The long term momentum continues to indicate that Stéphane Dion will win a Liberal Majority if he waits out the Harper mandate." http://trendlines.ca/electcanada.htm

http://trendlines.ca/electcanada.htm

The coversion of those December polls to Seat Projections confirm the haemorrhaging.

The TrendLines Research seat projections are in for the above Ipsos & Decima polls. Harper's 141 potential seats are not cause for over exuberance...

A second Spring poll released by Ipsos & Trendlines latest Seat Projection TrendLines Research

When the Conservatives were at 38% they weren't in the ball park for a majority but these results mean the Liberals are in the ball park for a minority? There is no credibility to your analysis. If you apply more favourable analysis to Liberal positive results than you do to Conservative positive results. Correct: It appears that there was no recent prospect of a Liberal Minority; at least not since the Leadership Convention bounce last Autumn ... see TrendLines today.

In the meantime, the evaporation of the Liberal Leadership bounce (to 143 Seats) can be seen at TrendLines Federal & Prov'l Riding Projections. Current polls indicate that the Conservatives would attain 140 MP's, several short of the 155 req'd for a majority...