https://www.counterpunch.org/2024/11/01/the-ukraine-war-is-lost-three-options-remain/
I've never heard of counterpunch before, but this article is brilliant.
I started listening to George Beebe a few years ago when he was warning about tensions in Ukraine, the real risk of escalation to nuclear war and the dangers of groupthink. Back in 2021 he assessed that Russia was likely to invade Ukraine given the combination of the US’s determination to bring the country into NATO and the fa