Dunning-Kruger Effect is Real

[robosmith]

So many here suffer from the over-confidence that Dunning and Kruger proved

Quote

About 25 years ago, the psychologists David Dunning and Justin Kruger ran a series of experiments to reveal something strange: people who know the least often have the most confidence in their abilities. This has come to be known as the "Dunning–Kruger effect." In short, if you're incompetent, you lack the skills you need to recognise your own competence, and so you overestimate your abilities.

You think you're great when you're not. But what's less commonly known is the opposite, known as the "reverse Dunning–Kruger effect." This is when you become truly competent. It's when you research, you study, and you put in the hard hours, and you become acutely aware of how little you know. Socrates was said to be the wisest man in Greece because he recognised just how little he knew.

If you speak to any expert or professor in their field, you'll notice how nuanced and uncertain their language is, whereas those who know very little are often very confident in what they say. You see this every day in online debates, where the loudest voices are often the least informed, and people with real knowledge hedge their statements, qualify their terms, and admit uncertainty.

Bertrand Russell once said that "the trouble with the world is that the stupid are so cocksure, and the intelligent are so full of doubt." The danger is that modern society risks rewarding confidence rather than competence. We mistake the loudest voices for the best voices. But of course, confidence is not competence, and if somebody is walking confidently and loudly towards a cliff's edge, it's better to follow somebody who knows where they're going.

https://www.facebook.com/reel/1464117234769403

 

[gatomontes99]

Somebody get him a mirror. 

[robosmith]

30 minutes ago, gatomontes99 said:

Somebody get him a mirror. 

Someone get him ^a habit of providing CREDIBLE EVIDENCE, which is the only way out of the Dunning-Kruger trap.

[CdnFox]

8 minutes ago, robosmith said:

Someone get him ^a habit of providing CREDIBLE EVIDENCE, which is the only way out of the Dunning-Kruger trap.

Yeah it WOULD be nice if you had any of that. You don't of course  

I love that you're bringing back dunning kruger.  For those who may be new, robosmith discovered this term about a year and change ago and for about 6 months EVERYTHING was dunning kruger.     It was hilarious!

"You're argument is very Dunning Kruger",  "Too bad Dunning Kruger makes you wrong" "you really dunning kruger'd that!!!"  

LOL it was a noun, it was a verb, it was an adjective, and occasionally even a conjunction.     It got just silly at points,  "this cereal is too dunning kruger for my tastes" 

There's a handful of words or phrases this happens to him with over time, my other big fave is "cognative dissonence" which he used every way possible EXCEPT the correct one  

So it's nice to see this making a come back ,  i got a lot of laughs out of the last time he fell in love with it!

[gatomontes99]

17 minutes ago, robosmith said:

Someone get him ^a habit of providing CREDIBLE EVIDENCE, which is the only way out of the Dunning-Kruger trap.

 

4 minutes ago, CdnFox said:

Yeah it WOULD be nice if you had any of that. You don't of course  

Someone gets it. 

 

[Venandi]

2 hours ago, gatomontes99 said:

Somebody get him a mirror. 

And then tell him about "the law of mirroring." 

It's a form of projection... the afflicted individual reflects their own failings on others and it explains why some people attract the same problems, conflicts and interactions over and over again.   

The law of mirroring explains that we aren’t only attracting certain circumstances into our lives, we are actually getting glimpses of who we are through how we perceive others

2 hours ago, robosmith said:

So many here suffer from the over-confidence that Dunning and Kruger proved

As a wise man on this very forum once said:

Look at the post ABOVE YOURS to find the explanation that you WON'T UNDERSTAND, cause you're dumber than dirt.

Guess who wrote that Robo? 

Edited August 15, 2025 by Venandi

[Legato]

3 hours ago, robosmith said:

So many here suffer from the over-confidence that Dunning and Kruger proved

https://www.facebook.com/reel/1464117234769403

 

Many times an explanation...

Once more... the Dunning Kruger effect was a byproduct of the  Dillon-Wagoner Generator concept.

♫ ride a painted pony let the spinning wheel spin ♫ ♬

[robosmith]

5 hours ago, Venandi said:

And then tell him about "the law of mirroring." 

It's a form of projection... the afflicted individual reflects their own failings on others and it explains why some people attract the same problems, conflicts and interactions over and over again.   

The law of mirroring explains that we aren’t only attracting certain circumstances into our lives, we are actually getting glimpses of who we are through how we perceive others

As a wise man on this very forum once said:

Look at the post ABOVE YOURS to find the explanation that you WON'T UNDERSTAND, cause you're dumber than dirt.

Guess who wrote that Robo? 

You're LYING. YOU wrote that here, and completely misrepresented what I said. Duh

YOU have NOTHING on Dunning and Kruger except BULLSHIT.

[robosmith]

4 hours ago, Legato said:

Many times an explanation...

Once more... the Dunning Kruger effect was a byproduct of the  Dillon-Wagoner Generator concept.

♫ ride a painted pony let the spinning wheel spin ♫ ♬

Too bad you're suffering from D&K effect by posting ONLY YOUR OPINION which means NOTHING.

D&K is NOT the FICTION YOU POST and everyone who posts ONLY THEIR OPINION PROVES THAT..

[Nationalist]

This again? @robosmith how much foolishness can you heap on yourself?

Do you like being known as the village id1ot?

[Venandi]

8 hours ago, Legato said:

♫ ride a painted pony

Not today though... in celebration of National Lemon Meringue Pie Day Robo will be going pink. 

 

Edited August 15, 2025 by Venandi

[robosmith]

6 hours ago, Nationalist said:

This again? @robosmith how much foolishness can you heap on yourself?

Do you like being known as the village id1ot?

YOU ARE AN lDIOT, because you believe YOUR OPINION MATTERS.

[herbie]

Robosmith just proved his assertion. He thanks you all for delivering that proof.

[WestCanMan]

Ironically, the first time Robo posted something that was 100% true and with proof, it was a post about his own penchant for posting uninformed drivel:

 

[robosmith]

2 hours ago, WestCanMan said:

Ironically, the first time Robo posted something that was 100% true and with proof, it was a post about his own penchant for posting uninformed drivel:

 

YOU'RE LYING AS USUAL. I post proof here more than 95% of the the posters.

YOU OFTEN post a gish gallop of claims with ZERO EVIDENCE. 🤮

[CdnFox]

13 hours ago, Nationalist said:

This again? @robosmith how much foolishness can you heap on yourself?

Do you like being known as the village id1ot?

Well he ain't here for the pretzels

2 hours ago, robosmith said:

YOU'RE LYING AS USUAL. I post proof here more than 95% of the the posters.

YOU OFTEN post a gish gallop of claims with ZERO EVIDENCE. 🤮

You almost never post proof. A 90% of what you do post isn't even relevant, you just think if you put an article up whether it talks about what you say it talks about or not it's somehow proof. And it isn't.

The problem is you've never had any schooling to look at how to do research or to make a logical argument, so you're unable to properly cite what you're discussing. And honestly it just makes you look even more wrong.

It's one of the ways that we can tell you never went to University despite your claims.

[gatomontes99]

4 hours ago, robosmith said:

YOU'RE LYING AS USUAL. I post proof here more than 95% of the the posters.

YOU OFTEN post a gish gallop of claims with ZERO EVIDENCE. 🤮

Lmao ... you think opinion pieces or pieces backed by dirty government officials is proof. 

Don't lie. Did you beleive:

The hunter laptop wasn't real and accurate?

Trump was a Russian spy?

The Trump prosecutions were not coordinate?

Hillary didn't pay for the Steele Dossier?

You had "proof" for all of those, right? And your proof was complete and utter bullshit. Thats because you don't post truth. You post opinions that you desperately want to be true because they prop up your fantasy world. 

[robosmith]

On 8/15/2025 at 6:22 PM, gatomontes99 said:

Lmao ... you think opinion pieces or pieces backed by dirty government officials is proof. 

OPINION pieces BY EXPERTS is far more valid than anonymous interwebz posts.

And I never posted Trump's claims as EVIDENCE. Duh.

On 8/15/2025 at 6:22 PM, gatomontes99 said:

Don't lie. Did you beleive:

The hunter laptop wasn't real and accurate?

I believe Hunter had a laptop that was left for repair and the shop owner ILLEGALLY revealed its contents to third parties.

I believe Rudy Giuliani gained possession of said laptop and took it to Ukraine where it was manipulated by Russian agents. At that the point, the loss of chain of custody INVALIDATED its value as EVIDENCE.

On 8/15/2025 at 6:22 PM, gatomontes99 said:

Trump was a Russian spy?

Trump's campaign was colluding with Russian agent Kilimnik as determined by Marco Rubio's Senate Intel Committee Report. 

On 8/15/2025 at 6:22 PM, gatomontes99 said:

The Trump prosecutions were not coordinate?

No coordinates. LMAO

On 8/15/2025 at 6:22 PM, gatomontes99 said:

Hillary didn't pay for the Steele Dossier?

Hillary's campaign paid to hire Steele through 3rd parties. So did Republicans.

Conservative Website 'Free Beacon' First Hired Fusion GPS

NPR

https://www.npr.org › thetwo-way › 2017/10/28 › cons...

 

Oct 28, 2017 — The conservative news website The Washington Free Beacon says during the 2016 campaign it first hired the firm that later produced a dossier of unsubstantiated ...

On 8/15/2025 at 6:22 PM, gatomontes99 said:

You had "proof" for all of those, right? And your proof was complete and utter bullshit. Thats because you don't post truth. You post opinions that you desperately want to be true because they prop up your fantasy world. 

YOU"RE LYING. Professional reporters are objective and do their research except for FOS LIES propagandists which got caught LYING about the Dominion voting systems. LMAO

 

[CdnFox]

1 hour ago, robosmith said:

OPINION pieces BY EXPERTS is far more valid than anonymous interwebz posts.

And I never posted Trump's claims as EVIDENCE. Duh.

I believe Hunter had a laptop that was left for repair and the shop owner ILLEGALLY revealed its contents to third parties.

I believe Rudy Giuliani gained possession of said laptop and took it to Ukraine where it was manipulated by Russian agents. At that the point, the loss of chain of custody INVALIDATED its value as EVIDENCE.

Trump's campaign was colluding with Russian agent Kilimnik as determined by Marco Rubio's Senate Intel Committee Report. 

No coordinates. LMAO

Hillary's campaign paid to hire Steele through 3rd parties. So did Republicans.

Conservative Website 'Free Beacon' First Hired Fusion GPS

NPR

https://www.npr.org › thetwo-way › 2017/10/28 › cons...

 

Oct 28, 2017 — The conservative news website The Washington Free Beacon says during the 2016 campaign it first hired the firm that later produced a dossier of unsubstantiated ...

YOU"RE LYING. Professional reporters are objective and do their research except for FOS LIES propagandists which got caught LYING about the Dominion voting systems. LMAO

 

This OPINION is USELESS without ZUCCHINI!!!!