Election Predictions

[DUI_Offender]

I am predicting Harris wins Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. Trump takes Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, and North Carolina.

 

Final vote: Harris 270 Trump 268.

Edited November 5, 2024 by DUI_Offender

[CdnFox]

24 minutes ago, DUI_Offender said:

I am predicting Harris wins Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. Trump takes Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, and North Carolina.

 

Final vote: Harris 270 Trump 268.

Considering that an error with the census caused some of the republican states to be shorted a seat and some of the democrat states to be given an extra one, if it plays out that way I suspect that there is going to be one hell of a mess

But I think that trump is probably going to take Pennsylvania

Edited November 5, 2024 by CdnFox

[Nationalist]

Landslide for the Republicans. 

[Queenmandy85]

President Trump 271 EC votes. The former President will take PA.

Vice President Harris 267 EC votes. 

[gatomontes99]

Here is my map for President. I favored Atlas Intel because they had the most accurate polls last season.

 

The Senate is going to be interesting. RCP has 50 seats as a lock for R and 43 as a lock for D.

TX is the easy toss up. Atlas has Ted up 7 and increasing. That should be a lock for R. D43/R51

WI is going to be a nail biter. The last three polls were R+1, tie, D+1. I'm leaning D here because the last poll did. I wouldn't be surprised either way. If Trump wins the state, though, advantage goes to R. D44/R51

PA is close, but D+2 was the last poll by Atlas and Casey is an incumbent. D45/R51

OH has had a R lead in every poll. Last Atlas poll had R+3. D45/R52

NV is voting for Harris and just about every recent poll has D by 3 or more. D46/R52

AZ is anyone's guess. The last two polls have a tie. Trump wins AZ so his party gets the edge. D45/R53

MI will split their vote. Trump wins the state but the D wins the senate. D46/R54

I'm not confident with my AZ best guess. So I could see this being D47/R53 or even D48/R52 pretty easy. But there is a possibility it could be D45/R55 if things go very well and absolutely worst case, D49/R51.

https://www.realclearpolling.com/maps/senate/2024/toss-up

The House is far too big for me to predict. I'm hearing it will probably be a narrow R majority again. That would track with the Senate and Presidential outcomes.

 

Edited November 5, 2024 by gatomontes99

[Deluge]

12 hours ago, DUI_Offender said:

I am predicting Harris wins Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. Trump takes Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, and North Carolina.

 

Final vote: Harris 270 Trump 268.

Trump will grab Pennsylvania as well. 

[gatomontes99]

@Black Dog loves to laugh at other people's opinions but doesn't seem to have the balls to make his own prediction. Hey, @Black Dog, why don't you quit being a chicken and give us your prediction?

Edited November 5, 2024 by gatomontes99

[Black Dog]

3 minutes ago, gatomontes99 said:

@Black Dog loves to laugh at other people's opinions but doesn't seem to have the balls to make his own prediction. Hey, @Black Dog, why don't you quit being a chicken and give us your prediction?

I already did elsewhere, go look it up.

[gatomontes99]

13 minutes ago, Black Dog said:

I already did elsewhere, go look it up.

Not really. Yeah, you don't think Trump will win. But you list no number. You have nothing to hold you accountable. At least I have enough data to back up my claims and I was not so scared that I couldn't post those claims.

Make your prediction instead of hiding behind emojis and false bravado.

[Black Dog]

Just now, gatomontes99 said:

Not really. Yeah, you don't think Trump will win. But you list no number. You have nothing to hold you accountable. At least I have enough data to back up my claims and I was not so scared that I couldn't post those claims.

Make your prediction instead of hiding behind emojis and false bravado.

I gave a margin of victory in the PV and an EC number, do your research.

[gatomontes99]

1 minute ago, Black Dog said:

I gave a margin of victory in the PV and an EC number, do your research.

Can't find it. I browsed your posts.

[Legato]

36 minutes ago, Black Dog said:

I already did elsewhere, go look it up.

Why would anyone go dumpster diving.

[Legato]

45 minutes ago, Black Dog said:

I already did elsewhere, go look it up.

Found it!

[DUI_Offender]

1 hour ago, gatomontes99 said:

@Black Dog loves to laugh at other people's opinions but doesn't seem to have the balls to make his own prediction. Hey, @Black Dog, why don't you quit being a chicken and give us your prediction?

That is the M.O. of all the Trump supporters.

What is the matter? You can dish it out, but cannot take it?

[gatomontes99]

3 minutes ago, DUI_Offender said:

That is the M.O. of all the Trump supporters.

What is the matter? You can dish it out, but cannot take it?

LMAO...typical lib. Can't and won't accept reality.

[CdnFox]

55 minutes ago, Legato said:

Found it!

People have 2 months to find something funnier on the internet or you win 2024.   

[CdnFox]

I hate to say it, but i have real doubts about trump's winning Pennsylvania. 

It's way too close to call, but i'm probably going to go with 270 268 and hope I'm wrong.   

My gut tells me he will take it and will win, but the numbers are suggesting that she has a slight edge in that state as far as voter turn out goes so i'll go with the numbers and not my gut. 

I think he'll take the senate and the house tho. 

[CITIZEN_2015]

Trump will win by over 300 (270 is needed). Americans must be really stupid to elect another coward Democrat.

Carter - In his time the worse depression since the great depression in 1980 lasting till Reagan took over

Carter - Russians dared to invade Afghanistan

Carter - Iranian revolution, Americans taken hostage till the last day of Carter presidency and Carter was too weak to do anything.

Biden - Russians invaded Ukraine.

Biden - Terrorists attack Israel and killed 1200/

Biden - released over 100 billion dollard to terrorist regime of Islamic Republic and all of that went to Hamas and Hezbollah causing the 7th of October attack.

Fu*k Democrats.

Trup ahead by one million in popular vote only 30 minutes into counting the votes.

[CdnFox]

Well,  i may have been pessimistic and may regret  not trusting my gut.  The early indications based on exit polls are definitely looking better for trump than the early polling would have suggested, we'll see. 

Latinos in some areas are way way more for trump than historically.  7 out of 10 are dissatisfied with the way things are.  Harris should have created more of a gap between her and biden. 

 

[DUI_Offender]

Looking at early results.

 

Georgia looks like it will go to Trump.

Harris up in Ohio (34% reporting)

Harris ahead in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and North Carolina early on.

[CdnFox]

10 minutes ago, DUI_Offender said:

Looking at early results.

 

Georgia looks like it will go to Trump.

Harris up in Ohio (34% reporting)

Harris ahead in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and North Carolina early on.

I can't believe ohio is so close, it's like 10 thousand votes separating them this far along. 

Pensylvania is the big one but honestly i don't know that we're going to know how it landed tonight.  And so far only 8 percent counted, so it'll be a while just to get an idea 

[Hodad]

5 hours ago, Legato said:

Found it!

Is that Trump's hurricane map?

[gatomontes99]

VA has an extremely thin lead for Trump. The big story there is that Trump is 9% better than 4 years ago in Loudoun County. Thats a lot of votes.

[CdnFox]

5 minutes ago, gatomontes99 said:

VA has an extremely thin lead for Trump. The big story there is that Trump is 9% better than 4 years ago in Loudoun County. Thats a lot of votes.

So far the results are leaning towards the election polling we've seen with the exception of PA. And that's still close as hell. 

 

[gatomontes99]

Just now, CdnFox said:

So far the results are leaning towards the election polling we've seen with the exception of PA. And that's still close as hell. 

 

The stuff I looked at only had Trump up by 2% at most in PA, MI and Wi.