Jump to content

BYELECTIONS COAST TO COAST (Part 1)


madmax

By Elections Sea to Sea   

19 members have voted

You do not have permission to vote in this poll, or see the poll results. Please sign in or register to vote in this poll.

Recommended Posts

With just three days to go, I am going to bump Part 1 and Part 2 once per day until the election.

My thoughts on these two, is that the West is a CPC/NDP affair.

The East is a 3 way race (CPC,LPC,NDP) with the CPC holding advantage.

My feeling is that Nova Scotia will go Tory based on traditional voting patterns.

It is the B.C. riding that could be the surprise. Although I don't know the local situation or candidates with great detail, I think the Tories can win this seat.

The Liberals will finish well back in both ridings.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

My feeling is that Nova Scotia will go Tory based on traditional voting patterns.

It is the B.C. riding that could be the surprise. Although I don't know the local situation or candidates with great detail, I think the Tories can win this seat.

The Liberals will finish well back in both ridings.

The NDP is a shoe-in in New Westminster. At a well attended all candidates meeting last night the Tory candidate was a no-show. She knows whats coming. This BC by-election is a no brainer.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The NDP is a shoe-in in New Westminster. At a well attended all candidates meeting last night the Tory candidate was a no-show. She knows whats coming. This BC by-election is a no brainer.

As I said, I don't know the full details on the ground there. I just wondered if there had been any traction for the Tories with their spending and Olympic involvement.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The NDP is a shoe-in in New Westminster. At a well attended all candidates meeting last night the Tory candidate was a no-show. She knows whats coming. This BC by-election is a no brainer.

There are many occassions that CPC Candidates don't show for debates.... ever... and they still win. Few pay attention to debates. Everyone at debates is already committed.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I don't know Max the Conservatives seem to be running scared. They just released a radio ad with Peter Mackay a day before the election begging people to vote conservative.

Running ads is Smart. That may tip the balance.

Here is a CTV prediction.

http://www.ctv.ca/servlet/ArticleNews/story/CTVNews/20091107/byelections_test_091108/20091108?hub=

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I was watching the ridding profile on CPAC earlier in the Week and it seems like there is still a lot of anger toward the CPC over the Bill Casey situation. With a popular NDP Provincial Government who won 3 of the 5 provincial seats that make up the ridding this traditional Tory ridding might turn orange.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I was watching the ridding profile on CPAC earlier in the Week and it seems like there is still a lot of anger toward the CPC over the Bill Casey situation. With a popular NDP Provincial Government who won 3 of the 5 provincial seats that make up the ridding this traditional Tory ridding might turn orange.

I certainly hope so! This riding reminds me yet again of how far the CPC has gone from its Reform roots. Casey supported his constituents over his party, which was the very essence of the Reform spirit. How ironic that it would be Harper who choose to punish him for it!

If the Tories lose Casey's seat it would be a good message that their actions had a price. I wouldn't suggest carrying a grudge more than one election, though. After all, it's not as if the other parties practice the old Reform idea...

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Now Wild Bill has me worried. Today I may go down in flames. While I think the riding is one for the CPC to lose, if Wild Bill makes comments like this, I wonder what its like on the East Coast.

There is a definite irony in that a PC took a Reform type position in representing his Constituents. He was also rewarded by his Constituency for doing so. The CPC has the right to punish a member, and the member has a right to speak his mind when necessary. People don't want a perpetual puppeteer in office.

Personally, I can't see the logic in going NDP unless this has become one of those Cadman type ridings. If so, the NDP will hold it for a term (if they get it) and it could swing back CPC if the CPC makes amends.

I don't see the riding as having a strong enough base for the NDP to take it. I am personally moving this to a photo finish, with the CPC by a nose.

HOwever, as I see here, MLW pundits may prove me wrong.

LOL... just looked at the newest vote.... What if the LPC swings up the middle :)

Edited by madmax
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Interesting that the Sun has called the NS ridding for the Conservatives. I thought results weren't going to be coming in until 10

Tories win first of four federal byelections

With 120 of 245 polls reporting, Armstrong had 44.6 per cent of the vote, compared to 26.9 per cent for NDP challenger Mark Austin, who had hoped to ride the coattails of the recently elected NDP provincial government of Darrel Dexter.

I'll be first to say I was wrong in buying into the supposed anger at the Tories in this ridding.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

So, final tally has Conservatives 2, BQ 1, NDP 1... the Liberals appear to have finished 3rd in each riding.

As a result, early-rising constituents of Cumberland-Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley may have to stay up until nearly midnight to find out who will be heading to Ottawa in their name -- all to appease a small, and very possibly extinct, contingent of curmudgeonly West Coasters who have, in the past, groused about the ignominy of hearing a general election called while still lined up at the ballot box.

British Columbia, we need to talk.

Kiss my ass, east-coast crybaby.

-k

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Congrats Fin, the Conservative that didn't even show up for an all candidates debate deserves to lose!

http://www.theprovince.com/news/Donnelly+takes+Westminster+Coquitlam+federal+riding/2204101/story.html

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/blogs/brian-topp/middling-gaining-and-falling-flat/article1357394/

Edited by Nat
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

  • Tell a friend

    Love Repolitics.com - Political Discussion Forums? Tell a friend!
  • Member Statistics

    • Total Members
      10,770
    • Most Online
      1,403

    Newest Member
    Akalupenn
    Joined
  • Recent Achievements

  • Recently Browsing

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...