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House Republicans are wasting little time jumping headfirst into probes involving the business dealings of President Biden’s son Hunter Biden and the Biden family if they win a majority in next week’s midterm elections. Republicans on the House Oversight Committee, the panel set to lead the probes if the GOP formally takes control of the chamber next year, are planning a press conference about their investigation into the Bidens the week after the election. Their goal is to question whether President Biden’s leadership has been impacted by his family’s business dealings — and to steer clear of the more salacious content on the infamous hard drive that belonged to Hunter Biden, a recovering drug addict. Rep. James Comer (R-Ky.), ranking member on the House Oversight Committee who is likely to chair the panel in a GOP majority, has long been preparing for hearings and advancing investigations into the Biden family businesses. Republican staff members on the panel have a copy of Hunter Biden’s hard drive and have been poring over it for months. Comer, in a statement to The Hill, blasted the Biden family for alleged influence peddling and raised concerns about the deals conflicting with U.S. interests. “If Joe Biden is compromised by his family’s business schemes, it is a threat to our national security,” Comer said. The White House declined to comment on the House GOP probes, but the Biden campaign in 2020 said the then-candidate “has never even considered being involved in business with his family, nor in any overseas business whatsoever.” Hunter Biden and Biden family business activities have been a longtime focus of Republicans on Capitol Hill, the right-wing media and former President Trump, whose request of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to look into Hunter Biden’s business dealings in Ukraine led to Trump’s first impeachment. There has also been longtime interest in Hunter Biden across the Capitol. Senate Judiciary Committee ranking member Chuck Grassley (R-Iowa) has made several floor speeches about Biden family business dealings, and has sent letters alleging that he has received information from whistleblowers about the family’s business activities. Democrats on the Hill have dismissed the GOP probe as part of a larger obsession with the Biden family. House Oversight Chairwoman Carolyn Maloney (D-N.Y) has previously called GOP efforts “nakedly partisan.” But in a House GOP majority, Republicans would have more power to probe new lines of interest about the family’s business matters, and potentially put them on public display if the panel holds hearings as Comer has promised. At the top of the GOP to-do list on the matter is obtaining suspicious activity reports from the Treasury Department connected to transactions from the president’s son and his associates. CBS News reported in April that U.S. banks flagged for review more than 150 financial transactions related to the business affairs of either Hunter or James Biden, the president’s brother. The reports do not necessarily mean illegal activity occurred, as Republicans have sometimes suggested, and only a small percentage of the millions of reports from banks filed each year lead to law enforcement investigations. Banks are required to file suspicious activity reports about transfers of amounts of at least $5,000, or $2,000 for money services businesses, if there is reason to suspect the funds came from illegal activity. They must also file currency transaction reports for any transaction exceeding $10,000. But Republicans on the House Oversight Committee argue more information on the transactions are needed to know whether President Biden financially benefited from his family’s business transactions, alleging that the possibility could create national security concerns. Meanwhile, few, if any, House Republicans have expressed much in the way of national security concerns when it came to Trump’s company business dealings while he was in the White House. And when an FBI search uncovered classified documents, some marked top secret, from Trump’s Mar-a-Lago property in possible violation of the Espionage Act, Republicans expressed more concern about alleged politicization of the Justice Department than about national security. The Treasury Department in September denied requests from House Oversight Republicans to provide the reports on the Biden family. Comer has promised to use the power that comes with the committee gavel to obtain them should his party gain the majority next year. Republicans have multiple areas they are interested in regarding the Biden family businesses, including dealings with a Chinese energy conglomerate and whether that relationship created any conflicts of interest with President Biden. A Washington Post investigation of Hunter Biden’s arrangement with CEFC China Energy found no evidence that President Biden personally benefited from the transactions or knew about the details, though House Republicans think there is information that indicates otherwise. There has already been outside interest from the right wing in the House Oversight GOP probe. Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-Fla.) has called on House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) to create a House select committee dedicated to investigating Biden business dealings. Conservative commentator and former Trump White House adviser Sebastian Gorka has offered to be staff director of the theoretical committee. But there is no sign McCarthy would create a special panel, and Comer has asked Republicans to give the Oversight committee a chance to roll out its planned hearings. Via The Hill. First appeared on Fox, now trending across the spectrum.
Analysis of Numbers of Polls, Sept. 3
Exegesisme posted a topic in US Federal PoliticsAnalysis of Numbers of Polls, Sept. 3 By Exegesisme Numbers of polls(1): Thursday, September 3 Race/Topic (Click to Sort) Poll Results Spread 2016 Republican Presidential Nomination Monmouth A Trump 30, Carson 18, Bush 8, Cruz 8, Rubio 5, Fiorina 4, Walker 3, Huckabee 4, Kasich 2, Christie 2, Paul 2, Santorum 0, Perry 1, Jindal 0, Graham 0 Trump +12 B General Election: Trump vs. Clinton PPP (D) Clinton 46, Trump 44 Clinton +2 C General Election: Bush vs. Clinton PPP (D) Clinton 46, Bush 42 Clinton +4 D General Election: Carson vs. Clinton PPP (D) Clinton 44, Carson 44 Tie E General Election: Rubio vs. Clinton PPP (D) Clinton 47, Rubio 43 Clinton +4 G General Election: Fiorina vs. Clinton PPP (D) Clinton 45, Fiorina 43 Clinton +2 H General Election: Cruz vs. Clinton PPP (D) Clinton 47, Cruz 42 Clinton +5 I General Election: Trump vs. Biden PPP (D) Biden 47, Trump 41 Biden +6 J General Election: Bush vs. Biden PPP (D) Biden 44, Bush 41 Biden +3 K General Election: Trump vs. Sanders PPP (D) Trump 43, Sanders 42 Trump +1 L General Election: Bush vs. Sanders PPP (D) Sanders 40, Bush 41 Bush +1 M General Election: Bush vs. Clinton vs. Trump PPP (D) Clinton 42, Bush 23, Trump 27 Clinton +15 My analysis: A, Trump 30, Carson 18, Bush 8, Cruz 8, Rubio 5, Fiorina 4, Walker 3, Huckabee 4, Kasich 2, Christie 2, Paul 2, Santorum 0, Perry 1, Jindal 0, Graham 0 Trump +12 The implications of these numbers in A: 1) Very clear numbers, the 1st runner Trump 30 is far ahead of the 2nd runner Carson 18 (by +12), 2) And the 2nd runner is far ahead of the two 3rd runners Bush 8 Cruz 8 ( both by +10). 3) The only female runner Fiorina marks by 4 . 4) All other numbers plus together 19. All numbers plus together, 87. 5) Support for Republic outsiders 30+18+4=52, over support for Republic tradition 8+8+5+3+4+2+2+2+1=35 (by +17). B vs C vs A B General Election: Trump vs. Clinton PPP (D) Clinton 46, Trump 44 Clinton +2 C General Election: Bush vs. Clinton PPP (D) Clinton 46, Bush 42 Clinton +4 A Trump 30, Carson 18, Bush 8, Cruz 8, Rubio 5, Fiorina 4, Walker 3, Huckabee 4, Kasich 2, Christie 2, Paul 2, Santorum 0, Perry 1, Jindal 0, Graham 0 Trump +12 The implications of these numbers in B, C, and A: 1) Trump A 30, wins Bush A 8 by a big gap +22, does not make an obvious contribution for Trump to win Clinton in the pull. 2) Trump already has been gaining the obvious 1st runner position, next should aim less at his republic rivals, and aim more at democratic side with one goal to unify the republic side into his campaign, with the other goal to press the space of the democratic side, to make his big gap ahead in the republic side to contribute more in winning the democratic side. B vs D vs A B General Election: Trump vs. Clinton PPP (D) Clinton 46, Trump 44 Clinton +2 D General Election: Carson vs. Clinton PPP (D) Clinton 44, Carson 44 Tie A Trump 30, Carson 18, Bush 8, Cruz 8, Rubio 5, Fiorina 4, Walker 3, Huckabee 4, Kasich 2, Christie 2, Paul 2, Santorum 0, Perry 1, Jindal 0, Graham 0 Trump +12 The implications of these numbers in B, C, and A: 1) Carson A 18, loses to Trump A 30 by -12, wins Bush A 8 and Cruz A 8 by +10, and Carson D 44 ties Clinton D 44. 2) the analysis of 1) mean that Carson's major fight is still in the republic side, his rival is mainly the 1st runner Trump. Carson ties Clinton which implies his advantage over the democratic side, but he should win Trump first. B vs G vs A B General Election: Trump vs. Clinton PPP (D) Clinton 46, Trump 44 Clinton +2 G General Election: Fiorina vs. Clinton PPP (D) Clinton 45, Fiorina 43 Clinton +2 A Trump 30, Carson 18, Bush 8, Cruz 8, Rubio 5, Fiorina 4, Walker 3, Huckabee 4, Kasich 2, Christie 2, Paul 2, Santorum 0, Perry 1, Jindal 0, Graham 0 Trump +12 The implications of these numbers in B, G, and A: 1) Fiorina A 4, loses to Trump A 30 by -26, to Carson A 18 by -14, to Bush A 8 by -4, to Cruz 8 by -4, to Rubio A 5 by -1, but Fiorina G 43 only loses to Clinton G 45 by -2. 2) Fiorina as the only female of the republic runners should mainly concentrate on express her own positive image as a female. 3) Trump A 30, wins Fiorina A 4 by +26, the big gap does not give Trump any advantage on Fiorina as Clinton is the rival, implies the value of Fiorina as the only female runner for the nomination of GOP. B vs C vs M vs A B General Election: Trump vs. Clinton PPP (D) Clinton 46, Trump 44 Clinton +2 C General Election: Bush vs. Clinton PPP (D) Clinton 46, Bush 42 Clinton +4 M General Election: Bush vs. Clinton vs. Trump PPP (D) Clinton 42, Bush 23, Trump 27 Clinton +15 A Trump 30, Carson 18, Bush 8, Cruz 8, Rubio 5, Fiorina 4, Walker 3, Huckabee 4, Kasich 2, Christie 2, Paul 2, Santorum 0, Perry 1, Jindal 0, Graham 0 Trump +12 The implications of these numbers in B, C, M and A: 1) Trump A 30, shrinks to Trump M 27 by -3, which transfers to become part of Clinton M 42. 2) Bush M 23, which represents republic tradition, over Bush A 8 by +15, which is from part of other runners' A for republic nomination other than Trump. 3) Clinton M 42, is shrunk from Clinton B 46 by -4, which prefers 1st traditional republic politics, 2nd traditional democratic politics, to political outsider, transfers to become a part of Bush M 23. 4) Clinton M 42, is shrunk from Clinton C 46 by -4, which prefers 1st political outsider, 2nd traditional democratic, to traditional republic, transfers to become a part of Trump M 27. 5) Trump M 27, which represents republic outsider, plus Bush 23 makes 50, which represents republic in the poll group, over Clinton M 42 by +8, which will shrink or overturn as one more democratic runner in the poll. Suggestion: 1, for Trump, Keeping the current style for its momentum, and adjusting it subtly to make it more stabilized for traditional trust, and shrink its hurt, and leave space for flexibility until to get the Republic nomination, and then making a reasonable change in the flexibility of the current style partially through choosing a good VP partner to absorb the decisive population in the campaign 2016. 2, for Carson, Learning from Trump, running more passionately, and increasing absorption, especially towards the part pushed away by Trump's aggression, closing the gap to the 1st runner. Focusing on foreign affairs, trying to win Trump on this domain, preparing for the much larger and sophisticated international space. 3, for Clinton, Receiving the reality, and preventing or shrinking the possible hurt from the email event in all directions. 4, for Fiorina More passion on the identity of female, running for support from women by the same identity, running for support from men by the complementary identity. Studying Trump deeply, doing early and good preparation towards the possible offer as partner running for VP once he gains the nomination and provides the chance. 5, for Bush Trying the goodest running for the nomination, then after turning from public domain to private domain. The meaning to meditate on and work for far future of Bush large family is not less than to be a common US president for 4 or 8 years. Reference (1) http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/