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Analysis of Numbers of Polls, Sept. 3 By Exegesisme Numbers of polls(1): Thursday, September 3 Race/Topic (Click to Sort) Poll Results Spread 2016 Republican Presidential Nomination Monmouth A Trump 30, Carson 18, Bush 8, Cruz 8, Rubio 5, Fiorina 4, Walker 3, Huckabee 4, Kasich 2, Christie 2, Paul 2, Santorum 0, Perry 1, Jindal 0, Graham 0 Trump +12 B General Election: Trump vs. Clinton PPP (D) Clinton 46, Trump 44 Clinton +2 C General Election: Bush vs. Clinton PPP (D) Clinton 46, Bush 42 Clinton +4 D General Election: Carson vs. Clinton PPP (D) Clinton 44, Carson 44 Tie E General Election: Rubio vs. Clinton PPP (D) Clinton 47, Rubio 43 Clinton +4 G General Election: Fiorina vs. Clinton PPP (D) Clinton 45, Fiorina 43 Clinton +2 H General Election: Cruz vs. Clinton PPP (D) Clinton 47, Cruz 42 Clinton +5 I General Election: Trump vs. Biden PPP (D) Biden 47, Trump 41 Biden +6 J General Election: Bush vs. Biden PPP (D) Biden 44, Bush 41 Biden +3 K General Election: Trump vs. Sanders PPP (D) Trump 43, Sanders 42 Trump +1 L General Election: Bush vs. Sanders PPP (D) Sanders 40, Bush 41 Bush +1 M General Election: Bush vs. Clinton vs. Trump PPP (D) Clinton 42, Bush 23, Trump 27 Clinton +15 ​ My analysis: A, Trump 30, Carson 18, Bush 8, Cruz 8, Rubio 5, Fiorina 4, Walker 3, Huckabee 4, Kasich 2, Christie 2, Paul 2, Santorum 0, Perry 1, Jindal 0, Graham 0 Trump +12 The implications of these numbers in A: ​1) Very clear numbers, the 1st runner Trump 30 is far ahead of the 2nd runner Carson 18 (by +12), 2) And the 2nd runner is far ahead of the two 3rd runners Bush 8 Cruz 8 ( both by +10). 3) The only female runner Fiorina marks by 4 . 4) All other numbers plus together 19. All numbers plus together, 87. 5) Support for Republic outsiders 30+18+4=52, over support for Republic tradition 8+8+5+3+4+2+2+2+1=35 (by +17). B vs C vs A B General Election: Trump vs. Clinton PPP (D) Clinton 46, Trump 44 Clinton +2 C General Election: Bush vs. Clinton PPP (D) Clinton 46, Bush 42 Clinton +4 A Trump 30, Carson 18, Bush 8, Cruz 8, Rubio 5, Fiorina 4, Walker 3, Huckabee 4, Kasich 2, Christie 2, Paul 2, Santorum 0, Perry 1, Jindal 0, Graham 0 Trump +12 ​The implications of these numbers in B, C, and A: 1) Trump A 30, wins Bush A 8 by a big gap +22, does not make an obvious contribution for Trump to win Clinton in the pull. 2) Trump already has been gaining the obvious 1st runner position, next should aim less at his republic rivals, and aim more at democratic side with one goal to unify the republic side into his campaign, with the other goal to press the space of the democratic side, to make his big gap ahead in the republic side to contribute more in winning the democratic side. B vs D vs A B General Election: Trump vs. Clinton PPP (D) Clinton 46, Trump 44 Clinton +2 D General Election: Carson vs. Clinton PPP (D) Clinton 44, Carson 44 Tie A Trump 30, Carson 18, Bush 8, Cruz 8, Rubio 5, Fiorina 4, Walker 3, Huckabee 4, Kasich 2, Christie 2, Paul 2, Santorum 0, Perry 1, Jindal 0, Graham 0 Trump +12 The implications of these numbers in B, C, and A: 1) Carson A 18, loses to Trump A 30 by -12, wins Bush A 8 and Cruz A 8 by +10, and Carson D 44 ties Clinton D 44. 2) the analysis of 1) mean that Carson's major fight is still in the republic side, his rival is mainly the 1st runner Trump. Carson ties Clinton which implies his advantage over the democratic side, but he should win Trump first. B vs G vs A B General Election: Trump vs. Clinton PPP (D) Clinton 46, Trump 44 Clinton +2 G General Election: Fiorina vs. Clinton PPP (D) Clinton 45, Fiorina 43 Clinton +2 A Trump 30, Carson 18, Bush 8, Cruz 8, Rubio 5, Fiorina 4, Walker 3, Huckabee 4, Kasich 2, Christie 2, Paul 2, Santorum 0, Perry 1, Jindal 0, Graham 0 Trump +12 ​The implications of these numbers in B, G, and A: 1) Fiorina A 4, loses to Trump A 30 by -26, to Carson A 18 by -14, to Bush A 8 by -4, to Cruz 8 by -4, to Rubio A 5 by -1, but Fiorina G 43 only loses to Clinton G 45 by -2. 2) ​Fiorina as the only female of the republic runners should mainly concentrate on express her own positive image as a female. 3) Trump A 30, wins Fiorina A 4 by +26, the big gap does not give Trump any advantage on Fiorina as Clinton is the rival​, implies the value of Fiorina as the only female runner for the nomination of GOP. B vs C vs M vs A B General Election: Trump vs. Clinton PPP (D) Clinton 46, Trump 44 Clinton +2 C General Election: Bush vs. Clinton PPP (D) Clinton 46, Bush 42 Clinton +4 M General Election: Bush vs. Clinton vs. Trump PPP (D) Clinton 42, Bush 23, Trump 27 Clinton +15 A Trump 30, Carson 18, Bush 8, Cruz 8, Rubio 5, Fiorina 4, Walker 3, Huckabee 4, Kasich 2, Christie 2, Paul 2, Santorum 0, Perry 1, Jindal 0, Graham 0 Trump +12 The implications of these numbers in B, C, M and A: 1) Trump A 30, shrinks to Trump M 27 by -3, which transfers to become part of Clinton M 42. 2) Bush M 23, which represents republic tradition, over Bush A 8 by +15, which is from part of other runners' A for republic nomination other than Trump. 3) Clinton M 42, is shrunk from Clinton B 46 by -4, which prefers 1st traditional republic politics, 2nd traditional democratic politics, to political outsider, transfers to become a part of Bush M 23. 4) Clinton M 42, is shrunk from Clinton C 46 by -4, which prefers 1st political outsider, 2nd traditional democratic, to traditional republic, transfers to become a part of Trump M 27. 5) Trump M 27, which represents republic outsider, plus Bush 23 makes 50, which represents republic in the poll group, over Clinton M 42 by +8, which will shrink or overturn as one more democratic runner in the poll. ​ ​ Suggestion: 1, for Trump, Keeping the current style for its momentum, and adjusting it subtly to make it more stabilized for traditional trust, and shrink its hurt, and leave space for flexibility until to get the Republic nomination, and then making a reasonable change in the flexibility of the current style partially through choosing a good VP partner to absorb the decisive population in the campaign 2016. 2, for Carson, Learning from Trump, running more passionately, and increasing absorption, especially towards the part pushed away by Trump's aggression, closing the gap to the 1st runner. Focusing on foreign affairs, trying to win Trump on this domain, preparing for the much larger and sophisticated international space. 3, for Clinton, Receiving the reality, and preventing or shrinking the possible hurt from the email event in all directions. 4, for Fiorina More passion on the identity of female, running for support from women by the same identity, running for support from men by the complementary identity. Studying Trump deeply, doing early and good preparation towards the possible offer as partner running for VP once he gains the nomination and provides the chance. 5, for Bush Trying the goodest running for the nomination, then after turning from public domain to private domain. The meaning to meditate on and work for far future of Bush large family is not less than to be a common US president for 4 or 8 years. Reference (1) http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/