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If the state-by-state predictions are correct, then with the exception of Indiana the electoral college vote will be split along Confederacy-Union Lines with the states that were not part of the Union, but supported slavery, voting with the Union states. It's easy to say race is not an issue anymore by pointing to the abolition of slavery, the end of Jim Crow Laws, the Civil Rights movement, etc. However, it's not a coincidence that the states have broken onto these lines following 9/11 and explicitly with the first black president. The majority of blacks and minorities support the Democrats, while the majority of white voters support the Republicans. One need only go back to Clinton to see a Democrat picking up former Confederacy States, Reagan practically swept his elections, and Jimmy Carter's electoral map has plenty of support from the former Confederacy. See the historical maps at http://www.270towin.com for details. Some might say it's more of a financial issue, with voters supporting the GOP wanting a more fiscally responsible government, but that argument doesn't hold water when scrutinized. The majority of the Confederacy states are broke and collecting more money from the Fed than they put back into it (Mississippi being the case in point). Check out THIS LINK for maps, analysis, and video about America's Cold Civil War. Here's the images for the lazy: Projected State Wins for Presidential Election 2012. States whose names are in Gold are considered tossups. Here's the Civil War Split with the states in Gold representing states that were notin the Confederacy, but they supported slavery.