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Everything posted by Derek 2.0
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China and Canada, Freedom Foes or Trade Friends
Derek 2.0 replied to Big Guy's topic in Federal Politics in Canada
Where does Canada stand in that regard? -
Which way do you feel the Trudeau-bots will vote?
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I've asked you since you've responded...... What further information do the Liberals require to make an "informed decision"?
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Under what circumstances would the Liberals support/oppose airstrikes against ISIS? The Liberals, with this vote, will grant a political stick to be bashed with by either the NDP or the Tories…..Trudeau will alienate some of his supporters with whatever paths he chooses, the Liberals decision will based on the amount of support they will lose from either antiwar leftists in (namely Quebec) or Foreign interventionists from the more moderate, centrist wing found within the ROC……. So, do the Liberals support genocide & terror or fighting a war in Iraq?
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What? The Liberals don't favour bombing ISIS, and would allow another genocide like they did in Rwanda? Or the Liberals favour a war in Iraq? Trudeau Liberals won't be able to have it both ways.........
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If the results of their policy convention become a part of their election platform, with upwards of 40-50 billion in new promised spending, the Trudeau Liberals will have to either propose new forms of taxation or accept running a deep deficit…….this, I will predict, will be one of the major factors in their political undoing with moderate, fiscally conservative and socially liberal, Canadians.
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Really? The only mystery, is how the Trudeau Liberals will vote………It’s clear the vote will pass with the Governments majority, it’s clear the NDP will oppose such a mission, what isn’t clear, and will have effect on their political aspirations, is how the Trudeau Liberals will vote……..Any predictions? Will the Liberals support the Government in its fight against genocide and terror or will they follow suite with the NDP so as to not risk political capital within Quebec.
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China and Canada, Freedom Foes or Trade Friends
Derek 2.0 replied to Big Guy's topic in Federal Politics in Canada
And how does Canada currently stand? -
Not at all, well fulling admitting a Tory bias........though I don't put much stock in polls, especially a year out, prior Liberals majorities didn’t contend with (as numbers indicate today) an NDP with ~20% and Tories with ~30% of the vote, relying upon a split amongst the CA/PC/BLOC/NDP and the inherent vote splitting to achieve a majority………this is why seat predictions today indicate the Liberals would only receive a minority with ~155ish seats……..this at the peak of Trudeau’s popularity, which the results a year from now will confirm, that he peaked far too early……… Even if the writ were dropped today, with a ~30 day campaign, I would predict a toss-up between a Tory or Liberal minority…….but of course we’re a year out, and the NDP, CPC and the Liberals have yet to release their platforms, likewise the NDP and CPC releasing little in the way of attack ads and Trudeau facing little scrutiny…..this of course is starting to change in the Quebec media, which in turn will open the flood gates in the ROC….. My bias aside, a year out, I will stick with my prior prediction of the Tories returning to govern with a slim majority or large minority………based upon the new seats (which the Tory’s are expected to win 20-22 of the 30), their election platform (targeted tax cuts), a strongish, life or death campaign from the NDP and the Canadian populace getting to actually know Trudeau……… Right now, the CPC has identified ~20-25 at risk seats, mostly in Ontario……If they lost the vast majority of these seats, but win (as expected) the new seats out West, the result would be a Tory minority……If they win the new seats and retain ~50% of the at risk seats, the result, a slim majority….the election will be won or lost by only of handful of seats……… The numbers for the Liberals, as it stands today, don’t equate to a majority once the new seats are factored in……..Their path to Government is through a near sweep of Quebec, which polls don’t indicate currently, followed by a near sweep in Ontario (which polls don’t indicate), coupled with a sweep of the Atlantic provinces (which is possible), well stealing seats from the Tories out West, which based on both polls and the results in the several by-elections, doesn’t appear likely. Like I’ve said before, I fully admit a Tory bias, but I’m currently not worried about a change in Government and feel the far more interesting race will be for Official Opposition…..could I be wrong? Sure. But ask yourself this, could those predicting a Trudeau coronation be wrong too?
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For sure, have been post 9/11…….especially for those that went heavy on buying opportunities found in the reduction of the industry in the 90s.
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Certainly, but outside of a handful of operators in black pajamas from CSOR/JTF-2, any Canadian contribution would be limited to CF-188s/CP-140s/CC-150s/CC-177s/CC-130Js………..reductions in purchases of 155mm/120mm/25mm/.50BMG/7.62x51/5.56x45 can be expected when there is no requirement for predeployment training and combat operations of the Canadian army.
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Sure you would........but then you probably haven't read the after action reports of Mogadishu…..or Karbala…or Fallujah 1 & 2……and why both the US Army and Marines rewrote the SOP on using helicopters in built-up, urban areas against a force with heavy weapons…….Coalition helicopters will have a limited role, at best, in operations in Iraq.
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War bonds are passé……….today’s meme is already held defense stocks, and they certainly wouldn’t be sold now.
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Makes what a possibility? A Liberal/NDP marriage would be short lived and could very well have disastrous results for one (if not both) of the partners in the following election….That's why I would suggest that such an arrangement would be quite informal.
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Indeed, sensationalism aside, the article doesn’t indicate what the reductions in the munitions budget will touch…….it does mention a reduction in artillery shells (like Excalibur), this combined with previous such sky is falling stories regaling cuts to predominantly small arms munitions would align with the Canadian Forces no longer fighting a war in Afghanistan………..Canada has bunkers full of Cold War era mk82s that are just a Paveway/JDAM kit away from being a modern smart bomb……Though I don’t know the levels of our current stores of such kits, much was bought and replaced during/after Libya, we would, if required make additional purchases, much like the British just did (before their vote Parliament) with cruise missiles…
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The entire Liberal contingent in the House? I doubt that, and such a tactic would then become the story.
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Should Canada Deploy the DART to Africa?
Derek 2.0 replied to Argus's topic in Federal Politics in Canada
The Canadian Forces do not employ specialists in infectious disease, PHAC does……….The Canadian Forces are not currently, nor planned to be, deployed to West Africa, PHAC is currently there, combined with access to resources within Canada. Unless any of this changes, and it won’t, I will refrain from responding to you further on this subject. -
Their intent to have a vote (next week) is well known........likewise it is know how both the Tories and NDP will vote.....Does anyone know how the Trudeau Liberals will vote? They can vote in favour of military action like past Liberal Governments and alienate their supporters in Quebec, or they can vote against military action to maintain support from Quebec and be shunned by moderates/red Tories in the ROC as not supporting action against those that commit genocide, well granting the request for support by the ever so popular (in Canada anyways) President Obama………..The Liberals can’t have it both ways and eventually Trudeau will piss off some of his supporters.
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That’s rather bold……….He’ll have to nearly run the table in both Quebec and Ontario like past Liberal Governments, but unlike the last several Liberal Governments, doesn’t have the advantage of the Bloc and divided right. At best (from a Liberal POV) he’d form a minority and govern with the support of the NDP. Unless the NDP completely collapse in Quebec, and the Tories fold like a card table in Ontario, the Liberals do not mathematically have the numbers (even with a solid showing in the Atlantic Provinces) to form a majority Government........... .....If anyone discounts this, by all means, indicate where the seats will come from and how the Liberals will campaign in such a manner to attract both vast swaths of left wing NDP supporters and centre-right Tory supporters.........the cracks in the Liberals positions (or lack there of) are just now coming to the surface (war against ISIS, taxation, the environment, free trade, energy etc) and will be made apparent in the months ahead……..eventually the Trudeau Liberals will have to take politically divisive positions, release policy and demonstrate how they will pay for it…..
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That's not true, both the Tories and NDP's differing positions are clearly known.........The Liberals are the ones sans a position, already weighing the political calculus between antiwar sentiment from within their Quebec caucus versus a more “proactive approach”, as favored in English Canada…………
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China and Canada, Freedom Foes or Trade Friends
Derek 2.0 replied to Big Guy's topic in Federal Politics in Canada
Following that meme to a microeconomics vantage point, all Canadians would be better off producing their own clothes, food, healthcare and transportation to avoid imbalances with Roots, Superstore, Shoppers and Ford....... -
Should Canada Deploy the DART to Africa?
Derek 2.0 replied to Argus's topic in Federal Politics in Canada
Perhaps your link is broken.........nowhere in it does it counter the Federal Government's earlier statement that the army is both not trained, nor equipped to provide healthcare in a quarantined environment……… Notice prior outbreaks on Canadian soil saw responses by civilian healthcare agencies and not the military…..Notice our collective response to this Ebola outbreak is from both Government and NGO healthcare professionals and not the military……….Ponder that. -
China and Canada, Freedom Foes or Trade Friends
Derek 2.0 replied to Big Guy's topic in Federal Politics in Canada
I think dre feels we should make our own consumer goods.......I could be wrong though. -
China and Canada, Freedom Foes or Trade Friends
Derek 2.0 replied to Big Guy's topic in Federal Politics in Canada
How would that be diminished by “buying Canadian”? How many lower income Canadians purchase Chinese goods from a Walmart versus more expensive Canadian made goods, and of course, how would this factor into your meme? -
China and Canada, Freedom Foes or Trade Friends
Derek 2.0 replied to Big Guy's topic in Federal Politics in Canada
I assume you mean by direct intervention in Canadian business, followed indirectly by the Canadian consumer………So you want me to give up my cheap Chinese made crap because some students have had a protest?
